TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,157,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,524,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,157,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe549…2d54backed Under60c549,999$331,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,499.4115552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c493,378$240,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253,029.694,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under56c350,000$196,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195,999.738932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Under56c199,999$112,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,999.6515249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over39c137,137$52,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,234.822,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under39c121,319$47,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,010.7625038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over44c113,636$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,636.3619644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over44c101,890$45,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,747.2251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over45c88,000$39,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,399.984456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over65c79,595$51,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,923.662,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Over44c71,653$31,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,067.13339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under57c63,000$35,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,909.8817949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca5…fd56backed Under49c62,851$30,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,573.442222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under36c59,609$21,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,488.861,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over44c51,000$22,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,56023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over41c46,419$19,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,235.721,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under56c42,965$23,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,920.575543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Under58c40,000$23,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,199.789451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over43c38,161$16,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,751.7717447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under14c33,247$4,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,756.1444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Over73c31,074$22,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,389.988435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Under57c30,000$17,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,099.969645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over80c29,000$23,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,89021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c25,347$11,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,894.5177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over55c24,791$13,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,083.1549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over43c23,300$10,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,28114045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under2c22,938$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under14c22,667$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over78c21,178$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,677.3639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…c3b2backed Under57c20,947$11,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,9401361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under62c19,778$12,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,361.122846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Over44c19,000$8,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6404235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under18c18,307$3,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,333.9426534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Over43c18,024$7,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,273.694348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe866…1ca8backed Under0c18,023$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under29c15,036$4,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,410.9814829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over43c15,015$6,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,558.5520844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Over43c14,653$6,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,352.218349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Over44c14,595$6,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,228.6417452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over37c13,688$5,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,623.4470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over41c12,584$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,469.641,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked Under35c12,256$4,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,268.014320.9%9 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under56c11,607$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over43c11,478$4,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,542.695152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over58c11,269$6,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,755.211,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under15c11,111$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.6521836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Over76c10,707$8,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.8618047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over58c10,405$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.3230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over40c10,241$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,157.831,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21df…7078backed Under56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over43c9,698$4,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,527.6711963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under58c9,388$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,434.452,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over42c9,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2206943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over45c8,836$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,885.0478835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Under11c8,714$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under11c8,623$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.9730626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under47c8,205$3,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,831.2642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Over43c8,046$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,585.75554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over43c8,000$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,56036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over43c7,548$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,302.476953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5be2…1b70backed Over78c7,282$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.073060%18 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over42c7,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.968158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over43c6,977$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.746459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over44c6,818$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.1813544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Under20c6,659$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over56c6,338$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.684932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over41c6,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.9622451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under23c5,991$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.7331545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over42c5,800$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36412825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under51c5,500$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,81524626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over73c5,460$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.154,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Under57c5,263$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under57c5,211$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9707744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under21c5,201$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.328229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over76c4,675$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.1475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under25c4,632$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.6213811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over44c4,470$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.253554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under3c4,402$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0229030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c4,343$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.31,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20bc…a3a7backed Under58c4,310$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under16c4,247$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over42c4,198$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.572842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Under55c4,050$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.746662.1%41 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5bc3…7a59backed Under1c4,040$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4250%0 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Under57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28013163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under57c3,888$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.1614348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under55c3,658$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.7533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under1c3,530$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.825125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over44c3,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.998337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed Over43c3,488$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.375448.1%26 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over58c3,440$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.7237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c3,407$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.763,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over79c3,329$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.192,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under43c3,264$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.723046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over43c3,200$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82437850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a02…8b73backed Over66c3,173$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.536647%31 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under12c3,023$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35316325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.