TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c3,038$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.151,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under48c3,003$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.897653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Under45c2,300$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.116445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over55c1,897$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.827538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over57c1,744$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.797038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c1,695$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.764,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over58c1,672$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.2711555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under44c1,604$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.5343145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under41c1,555$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.5385851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over56c1,087$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.632,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31d…a83dbacked Over58c927.8$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.594067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…5ad0backed Over65c886.15$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.157252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Over60c849.72$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.774643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under42c804.94$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.0736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over57c712.52$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.253,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c640.27$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c610.53$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.532,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under43c597.29$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2379149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over57c505.78$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.961,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under35c475.41$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.532,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under6c447.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.422,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under43c367.44$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15848055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over57c361.05$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1827254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over59c330.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.73,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under43c320$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.477051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over63c317.39$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.922,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under40c312$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.82,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c311.43$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.163,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over57c299.98$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9918929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under38c294.08$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.772,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad33…a3c5backed Under38c262.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over59c253.12$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8827466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc8d…0939backed Over75c234$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.761650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under18c191$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.311,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Under43c185.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.871553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…b8cdbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.447238.9%28 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over76c138$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1287237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under42c113.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4831853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c111.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.692,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d07…a067backed Over75c109.59$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.598247.6%39 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under33c104$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.481,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3746743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6e…1647backed Over65c92.62$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.623342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Over55c91.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4524046.3%111 W · 129 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.932,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over59c68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.889862.2%61 W · 37 L+20.5wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under43c57.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.710452.9%55 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over59c49.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4711360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over56c49.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85db…0d12backed Over63c47.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.385554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over52c46.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5219356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6535…dd25backed Under41c46.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.773441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d9…590bbacked Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.156852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a8e…664abacked Over43c46.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.145827.6%16 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3241551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under42c45.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0240240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over60c42.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.072,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…509bbacked Over57c40.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Under43c40.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4219754.3%107 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.43,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d58…80b2backed Over60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1614739.5%58 W · 89 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over62c39.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3220968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4616344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…ac32backed Over58c36.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2114148.2%68 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0922147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…ab36backed Under42c34.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.696755.2%37 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb09a…d6a8backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.489168.1%62 W · 29 L+17.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+42.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Under48c33.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8811655.2%64 W · 52 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2c…88c6backed Over64c31.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0818562.2%115 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcedd…0dd4backed Under49c30.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7e…d107backed Over56c26.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.611060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…dd03backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.327038.6%27 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00a…9db3backed Over64c23.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.381020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-69.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6403…0318backed Over57c22.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.812927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18c…272fbacked Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.820186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xe329…982ebacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.