TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6535…dd25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$379.63
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$257
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+281.8%+$352.21
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$105.67
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.13
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.97
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$220.47
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.3
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Panama vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$106.18
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$266.67
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$128.31
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$134.33
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$26.84
England vs. Ghana: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$281.16
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$122.03
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Natsumi Kawaguchi vs Priska Nugrohobacked Priska Nugroho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$120.18
ITF W15 Torello Women: Clarissa Gai vs Mar Cabassers Morrosbacked Mar Cabassers Morros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Philadelphia: Lois Boisson vs Capucine Jauffretbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Leonardo Rossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$127.12
ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Pablo Aunion vs Ivan Lopezbacked Ivan Lopez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.51
Monteiro vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+288.5%+$1,158.6
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Polina Iatcenko vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Polina Iatcenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Set Handicap: Ruse (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)backed Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv: Team to Advancebacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.33
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)backed Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs ODDIK (+1.5)backed ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132%+$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrainbacked Hong Kong, China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$13.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.