Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaff1e5c1509661cba037c4ebc0780f0cec5def3eb5e0a00b1c17e03987b8b95e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2312…016fbacked Under | 23c | 8,157$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,248.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 76c | 5,104$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,878.39 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Under | 12c | 1,820$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.68 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 33c | 1,566$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.88 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5de…c4a9backed Over | 67c | 838.68$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.14 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 79c | 589.41$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9de…7912backed Under | 17c | 533.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf157…7a19backed Over | 73c | 491.84$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under | 14c | 488.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.18 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 70c | 372.62$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.53 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 65c | 363.68$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over | 60c | 341.84$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 13c | 317.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 21c | 308.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.7 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…dd25backed Over | 75c | 282.6$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 24c | 233.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.7 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3807…a162backed Over | 79c | 219$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 59c | 202.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 175 | 33.7%59 W · 116 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 33c | 191.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 33c | 166.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…3621backed Over | 31c | 161.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 69c | 157.09$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1d…78d4backed Under | 64c | 156.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 60c | 152.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 21c | 138.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…a9babacked Over | 62c | 129.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed Under | 38c | 128.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…d67fbacked Under | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…e58dbacked Under | 22c | 112.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Under | 16c | 106.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 33c | 91.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 28c | 70.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 17c | 69.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 19c | 65.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…34bebacked Under | 37c | 40.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +11.2wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…c326backed Over | 41c | 36.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…b386backed Over | 45c | 31.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…0280backed Over | 47c | 29.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed Over | 60c | 23.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -16.1wins | -0.46per pick | 52cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 20-0.27 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Over | 60c | 23.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…2b4fbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 77c | 18.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5this page
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
- Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-5.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.