TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,671 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6872…876fbacked Over5c517.53$25 inLost-$24.643718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under32c228.4$72 inWon+$156.152,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c223.81$152 inLost-$152.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Under33c185.56$61 inWon+$124.338057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Under34c102.35$35 inWon+$67.552634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4423…47fdbacked Over67c74.63$50 inLost-$5012244.3%54 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over69c72.95$50 inLost-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under31c72.33$22 inWon+$49.953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under33c50$17 inWon+$33.52,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf14b…2b93backed Over66c48.79$32 inLost-$32.23161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c2c…88c6backed Over67c44.78$30 inLost-$3018562.2%115 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e4a…7a46backed Over68c36.76$25 inLost-$256152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcb…2941backed Over68c28.68$19 inLost-$19.59753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7b…d8cebacked Over70c28.37$20 inLost-$202634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1df7…1d6dbacked Over67c25.07$17 inLost-$16.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Under72c23.08$17 inWon+$6.5717229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.