TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9602…4d02backed No74c29,345$21,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,583.2431945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c11,239$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,914.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No73c10,503$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,699.6334249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…8966backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f6…8993backed Yes26c9,884$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,313.852020%4 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No31c6,128$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.072,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No57c3,965$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.211,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes26c2,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c2,482$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.012,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No70c2,113$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.2317569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Yes27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.996235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No29c2,000$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.995536.4%20 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.942,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.891,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No22c1,852$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Yes27c1,844$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.444643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ced…db48backed Yes33c1,475$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.34875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+62.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes26c1,415$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.6518843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes60c1,317$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.6735244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Yes29c1,290$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.143650%18 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes30c1,100$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9921429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.438235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Yes79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.276555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes38c933.32$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.3216342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…21a2backed Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.743923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.744211.9%5 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7414652.1%76 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c683.91$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.253,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c683.62$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.582,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c683.42$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.252,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed No74c674.32$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4996446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked No32c654.27$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7424540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce2…0ab4backed Yes65c626.4$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.241346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa37d…0c67backed Yes58c623.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.212222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes26c596.35$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.3520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b05…1553backed No2c569.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82010%2 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701b…f052backed Yes27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.565032%16 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes33c546.77$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.162,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No72c534.18$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e6…f019backed Yes39c508.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.354447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde2b…5fc3backed No74c501.78$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.321258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3709643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes28c422.93$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9310038%38 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed No41c407.49$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4317229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb401…df2abacked No69c406.29$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb116…7baebacked Yes27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2922927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No74c390$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5615…3199backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.62540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bd…bc96backed Yes50c384.52$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.383438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ec…4f9fbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.373455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9cc…c72abacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+167.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes26c333.02$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.993016.7%5 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-62.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0336023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3d…f757backed Yes80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe635…3162backed Yes54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.341020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x223b…971cbacked Yes27c296.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.316040%64 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63e3…f341backed Yes34c294.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.848647.7%41 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd977…2dc4backed Yes34c294.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.314025%10 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x467f…3a50backed Yes34c292.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-51.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes26c289.01$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.933,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efb…67bebacked Yes79c281.36$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.191656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked Yes77c281.33$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.414957.1%28 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked No30c280.68$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.764247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a28…b9afbacked Yes27c280.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.222138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed No70c279.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.993652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fda…b819backed Yes27c270.37$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.373537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad8…f24bbacked No74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes69c258$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.411,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…2c73backed Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Yes26c253.85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8511934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9886…8146backed Yes71c237.38$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No24c235.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.431,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96e…c4c8backed Yes53c227.95$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.225444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0196…d9f9backed Yes57c227.82$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.97736.4%28 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a8…a111backed Yes43c225.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed No73c224.2$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.41,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes32c210.61$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.452,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes27c205.86$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.911,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39a…91a2backed Yes49c204.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.581435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f4c…14ddbacked Yes27c203.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.72326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7098…1d97backed Yes36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1284362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed No38c199.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9917040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes27c199.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9912038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cab…a6a1backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick22cpaid+203.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6281…cb9cbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.312339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e28…d652backed Yes27c185.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x321e…80febacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e08…7a2abacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.194814.6%7 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f04…baeabacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3e…6ecbbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8df…b03bbacked Yes27c183.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.27837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d41…24d7backed Yes77c182.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.223444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d32…c528backed Yes29c171.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.241850%9 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd549…c156backed Yes60c166.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.772450%12 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ab8…c5c3backed Yes26c166.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.984332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf24…fc6bbacked Yes61c164.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.575100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0cb…419fbacked Yes31c163.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4413742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Yes27c162.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.915125.5%13 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.