Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c3c2a86c0b64780406b7faf7e735e2627822bc8f5561a9c842d2ad43e50974f

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,795 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over	2c	9,821$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.71	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa202…4b82backed Under	48c	5,210$2,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,709.2	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x895e…1b89backed Over	52c	5,210$2,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,709.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5436…de65backed Under	48c	5,210$2,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,709.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf435…8d38backed Over	52c	5,210$2,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,709.2	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1424…9342backed Over	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…7b19backed Under	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec5…ac77backed Over	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe640…3d92backed Under	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…1804backed Under	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…85adbacked Over	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1594…598cbacked Under	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0a…4777backed Over	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa111…d080backed Over	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf860…3ed6backed Under	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6872…876fbacked Over	23c	1,026$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.08	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	52c	737.09$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.35	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc97…0cc5backed Over	47c	635.19$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.67	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under	20c	256.83$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.34	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	+14.2wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+89.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under	48c	225.65$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.34	128	53.9%69 W · 59 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	66c	204.8$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.8	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	52c	180$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.6	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under	56c	149.84$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.93	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Under	47c	136.45$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.2	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under	34c	134$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b38…1dccbacked Under	47c	123.22$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.31	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	54c	122.35$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.7	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	51c	107.69$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1b…bb35backed Over	47c	106.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3807…a162backed Over	44c	106.07$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.67	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	59c	104.69$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.76	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over	26c	99.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…d567backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	104	62.5%65 W · 39 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over	55c	91.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under	55c	86.51$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.93	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf14b…2b93backed Over	53c	80.36$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.59	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	54c	74.06$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.14	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	48c	74.06$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.65	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Under	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	46c	52.79$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Under	46c	49.36$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.66	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e4a…7a46backed Over	55c	45.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over	55c	45.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	239	51.9%124 W · 115 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcb…2941backed Over	44c	43.77$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over	76c	41.66$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.66	274	66.4%182 W · 92 L	+28.8wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa293…0630backed Over	47c	41.21$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef3…dbcdbacked Over	53c	37.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	165	35.2%58 W · 107 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	38c	30.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over	58c	28.74$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	91	68.1%62 W · 29 L	+13.8wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under	47c	28.68$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.21	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	45c	28$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	163	44.2%72 W · 91 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	301	48.2%145 W · 156 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0db9…a4a8backed Over	49c	25.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.63	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	-16.1wins	-0.46per pick	52cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	20-0.27 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	52c	21.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104a…cc7ebacked Over	53c	21.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over	53c	21.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under	51c	20.53$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.06	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5this page
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: England (-1.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-2.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-4.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-5.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event