TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f62…d989backed Over11c15,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over12c12,370$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.612,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbf…e3ecbacked Over10c10,406$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over5c10,016$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.5965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over10c9,242$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.2595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over9c9,075$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.672,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over11c6,420$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.052,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over11c5,883$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.892,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over10c5,236$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5615441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over7c4,735$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.861,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over5c4,524$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.711,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36d1…5305backed Over10c3,180$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.041030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over11c2,964$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.362,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c2,933$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.934,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c2,843$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.194,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Over10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Over7c2,000$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1386214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6b…267ebacked Over10c2,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.492218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over11c1,924$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6972722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over2c1,667$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.112,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x818b…5ae0backed Over12c1,659$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c1,656$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.973,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over10c1,628$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.61,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3905…c8bdbacked Over10c1,600$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over12c1,540$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over13c1,523$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4278835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over5c1,443$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.952,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a38…a943backed Over12c1,436$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4de1…d632backed Over11c1,357$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.81428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over10c1,230$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.483,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12069826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over5c1,146$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over12c1,112$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.261,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over10c1,105$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.491,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over11c1,036$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9929813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over10c1,030$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.62,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Over12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206939.1%27 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over8c970.93$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8525643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over10c956.68$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.241,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Over11c913.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over12c884.42$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.133517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over12c846.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0d8…db9fbacked Over12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005050%25 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over11c829$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.198725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over10c799.04$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.462,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over11c780$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over10c732.64$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.945145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over12c666.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over11c626.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6719939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4091…77d1backed Over11c546$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.067516%12 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over12c532.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over11c529.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5432837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over8c517.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.11,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2f…ef88backed Over12c408.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over11c352.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.435520%11 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1411…631dbacked Over11c347.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Over11c300$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.525510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over10c299.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over11c270.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.811,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013242.4%56 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…40d1backed Over11c242.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d07…6555backed Over7c239.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+141.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over10c227$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.771,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Over12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7011…f535backed Over12c193.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.18156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick12cpaid+247.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4681…dbecbacked Over11c191$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.013112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe22e…074bbacked Over11c188.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe191…2720backed Over12c183.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224030%12 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Over12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207930.4%24 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab4…2107backed Over12c162.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Over9c153.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.994346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4519…49e4backed Over10c147.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.784910.2%5 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-61.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under79c140.92$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over11c140.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.062,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over11c137.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.221,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed Over11c131.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8522338.1%85 W · 138 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…e632backed Over10c126.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652128.6%6 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over9c113.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3517747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x189e…64c3backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115022%11 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over13c99.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over14c85.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8666932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over19c63.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under74c44.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.411,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.