TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Englandof Norway, England
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$490,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$515,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,213 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41cf…6002backed Norway2c38,533$942 inLost-$942.372532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Norway3c33,738$887 inLost-$886.611,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Norway2c21,473$456 inLost-$455.9436031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Norway2c19,383$354 inLost-$354.3137223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Norway2c16,754$410 inLost-$409.992,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a06…3800backed Norway3c16,359$450 inLost-$4504528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Norway2c13,390$311 inLost-$311.423,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Norway4c11,570$414 inLost-$414.1984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Norway3c8,221$206 inLost-$205.5421333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Norway3c8,105$221 inLost-$220.678835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Norway3c7,946$202 inLost-$201.82,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Norway2c7,493$165 inLost-$165.2872722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Norway2c6,898$136 inLost-$135.691,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Norway2c6,642$148 inLost-$148.51756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Norway1c6,046$73 inLost-$72.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Norway2c4,731$101 inLost-$101.1415441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Norway2c4,255$91 inLost-$91.4265835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Norway3c4,150$116 inLost-$116.160511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Norway2c3,644$86 inLost-$86.411,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Norway2c3,592$75 inLost-$75.441,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Norway2c2,926$67 inLost-$67.2916831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Norway1c2,870$30 inLost-$29.921,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Norway2c2,781$67 inLost-$66.7414612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0475…767cbacked Norway3c2,308$60 inLost-$6050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Norway2c2,292$55 inLost-$559417%16 W · 78 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf31d…f07abacked Norway3c2,000$50 inLost-$5090%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Norway2c1,567$37 inLost-$36.972,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Norway1c1,333$15 inLost-$153067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Norway2c1,129$20 inLost-$2037057.3%212 W · 158 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Norway2c975$22 inLost-$22.4397742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Norway2c836.56$17 inLost-$16.732,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…e835backed Norway3c670$17 inLost-$17.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb28e…d7edbacked Norway2c580.56$11 inLost-$10.5590%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dbb…3714backed Norway2c500$10 inLost-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa066…16aebacked Norway2c500$12 inLost-$1220138.3%77 W · 124 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Norway2c499.99$11 inLost-$11.0330039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Norway2c463.65$11 inLost-$10.533,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x886f…c994backed Norway3c400$10 inLost-$10.43327.3%9 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb788…28e4backed Norway3c400$10 inLost-$10.4120%0 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.