TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$609,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$693,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b16…9281backed Over14c184,626$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,000911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-81.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked Over0c39,960$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.136114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over22c28,354$6,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,366.9859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over12c11,503$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.383,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1857…a2f8backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over3c9,711$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0117747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over12c9,125$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.972,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over7c8,557$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.181,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over66c6,072$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.7638960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under58c6,034$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.2766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Under18c5,600$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,589.982744.4%12 W · 15 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+153.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x666e…e195backed Under22c5,000$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.991631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over13c4,408$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.015330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over77c4,366$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,345.7523363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a3a…1cd3backed Under18c3,955$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.341080%8 W · 2 L+5.8wins+0.58per pick22cpaid+259.5%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0aa5…6c31backed Under18c2,200$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick19cpaid+261.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over4c2,104$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0219944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…2193backed Under25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c1,932$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Over8c1,828$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.987755.8%43 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over13c1,653$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4650850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over11c1,613$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Over2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over67c1,495$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.344264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over14c1,428$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9811122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over20c1,400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.182,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over13c1,281$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over14c1,250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9427466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over44c1,249$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.122959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Over10c1,177$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2313956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over7c1,137$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.841,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over36c1,112$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3210761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x606e…ce83backed Over3c1,100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.23212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over11c1,037$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.842,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over9c999.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over13c999.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12529813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…896cbacked Over12c969.82$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.38258%2 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under51c847.7$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.3830054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over31c815.41$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.571939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Over3c808.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.24641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa781…8745backed Under25c800$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5972445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under63c793.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over18c730.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.881,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8354…528dbacked Over17c591.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over6c531.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under15c506.57$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.595139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over8c499.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Over32c417.47$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.594156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012123.1%28 W · 93 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over13c367.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.323,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over12c364.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.755020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over6c358.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2f…ef88backed Over13c350.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.96812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under45c333$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1513552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under64c320.43$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7920150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over13c309.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over23c307.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.321,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3627637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over7c289.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712552%13 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+63.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over14c267.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4714526.2%38 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over5c266$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0227227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over12c235.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3136024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Over6c227.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over12c219.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…cd0ebacked Over14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Over13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269628.1%27 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8d3…6301backed Over13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over13c192.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8819038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Under44c181$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.363050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over12c175$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Over16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e3…3efdbacked Over12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154122%9 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over12c124$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.882,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Over21c121.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258341%34 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Over14c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.411114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over11c113.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.532,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over13c109.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3372247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153721.6%8 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over31c88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.462,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb138…419bbacked Over12c85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb7…c93fbacked Over79c77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.825541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Under63c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.765337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over51c45.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.521251.9%110 W · 102 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b4…88dfbacked Over30c42.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.746368.3%43 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ec…81bebacked Under42c34.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.