Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7550e459c794963740fefd7329ee9ec20a3b0a7eeee8bcb608983884b7e86ba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 23c | 887.04$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.82 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 75c | 765.33$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over | 24c | 581.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…de9bbacked Under | 76c | 494.76$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…0dfcbacked Over | 26c | 359.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Under | 75c | 285.13$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…7e45backed Under | 78c | 256.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Over | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 259 | 37.5%97 W · 162 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 72c | 179.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 73c | 179.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 24c | 157.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Under | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Under | 74c | 139.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 26c | 132.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…4ee4backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 24c | 105.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470f…e804backed Over | 24c | 100.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 28c | 95.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 76c | 75.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b2…da2dbacked Over | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Over | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Under | 73c | 51.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f8…29e4backed Under | 78c | 32.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 74c | 31.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…88d2backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
- Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-5.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.