Spread: Norway (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x019db3b4c51d975ab3ebbffcbeb96df45586ef82832a309b32956a84682710cf

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Englandof Norway, England
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,010,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $991,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,010,976 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Norway	8c	60,357$4,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,909.04	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Norway	9c	49,000$4,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,532.49	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Norway	6c	47,408$2,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,950.77	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Norway	9c	44,444$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Norway	6c	30,580$1,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,925.32	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Norway	6c	25,919$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,490.33	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa45e…e704backed Norway	8c	25,139$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Norway	9c	20,107$1,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,809.64	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Norway	3c	20,034$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.11	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Norway	5c	16,322$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.37	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Norway	8c	15,000$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Norway	6c	14,286$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	158	46.2%73 W · 85 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Norway	9c	10,831$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Norway	6c	10,111$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfae4…299fbacked Norway	8c	9,573$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.99	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Norway	8c	9,524$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.64	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Norway	7c	8,441$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Norway	9c	7,856$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.86	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Norway	8c	7,461$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.38	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Norway	11c	7,093$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	96	33.3%32 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Norway	16c	6,746$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.67	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Norway	8c	6,241$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.49	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8d…908ebacked Norway	8c	6,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Norway	7c	6,000$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.5	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Norway	9c	5,869$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.39	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Norway	8c	5,751$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.48	226	20.4%46 W · 180 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Norway	7c	5,573$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.1	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a06…3800backed Norway	9c	5,560$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Norway	9c	5,348$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.38	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Norway	8c	5,000$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Norway	3c	4,336$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.93	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Norway	5c	4,231$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.24	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Norway	9c	4,150$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.5	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Norway	8c	4,139$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.59	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Norway	9c	4,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Norway	6c	4,000$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	246	35.8%88 W · 158 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Norway	7c	3,999$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.38	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed Norway	5c	3,888$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.12	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3d…b162backed Norway	8c	3,691$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.26	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Norway	9c	2,778$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.31	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Norway	3c	2,556$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.67	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…45f4backed Norway	6c	2,524$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.28	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Norway	4c	2,521$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.58	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Norway	8c	2,500$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.6	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Norway	6c	2,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Norway	3c	2,446$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.38	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Norway	7c	2,317$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	275	43.6%120 W · 155 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Norway	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	226	22.1%50 W · 176 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Norway	8c	1,875$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Norway	9c	1,816$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.37	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1846…806abacked Norway	4c	1,800$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Norway	12c	1,772$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.74	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Norway	14c	1,600$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Norway	7c	1,468$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.81	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked Norway	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Norway	9c	1,300$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.75	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Norway	6c	1,272$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.42	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Norway	8c	1,246$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.43	193	32.6%63 W · 130 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Norway	9c	1,200$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Norway	14c	1,152$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.03	175	33.7%59 W · 116 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f23…40b4backed Norway	9c	1,143$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norway	7c	1,137$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.61	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed Norway	7c	1,133$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10fd…a922backed Norway	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Norway	7c	1,100$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.41	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Norway	9c	1,081$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a9…c40fbacked Norway	7c	1,071$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	+150%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0a…5448backed Norway	5c	1,035$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Norway	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	285	35.8%102 W · 183 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Norway	6c	1,000$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Norway	9c	1,000$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.5	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Norway	9c	999.99$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.5	75	21.3%16 W · 59 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Norway	7c	994.71$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.14	444	35.4%157 W · 287 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Norway	7c	923.25$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.27	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Norway	14c	913.92$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.73	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1258…f5c1backed Norway	5c	898.9$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.63	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Norway	9c	888$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ff…b556backed Norway	4c	799.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa066…16aebacked Norway	8c	799.98$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked Norway	9c	782.96$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a2…0489backed Norway	9c	777.78$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+5.8wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+170.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Norway	15c	755.94$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.41	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Norway	10c	731$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.45	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5949…534bbacked Norway	4c	712.96$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Norway	4c	705.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	327	33%108 W · 219 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Norway	8c	698.73$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.24	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Norway	8c	695$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.34	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Norway	3c	674.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	121	23.1%28 W · 93 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Norway	8c	671.93$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.87	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Norway	9c	666$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.61	76	17.1%13 W · 63 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0475…767cbacked Norway	9c	612.22$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.1	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Norway	7c	600$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.19	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Norway	16c	600$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Norway	4c	571$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Norway	8c	565.85$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.08	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Norway	9c	560$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c9…cb7fbacked Norway	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…4b4bbacked Norway	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Norway	14c	548.52$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.51	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99cb…b153backed Norway	9c	540.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	22cpaid	+140.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Norway (-1.5)this page
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: England (-1.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-2.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-4.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-5.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event