Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ff683fea8281f90febda9b3ebb2ac3061216599d5fbae9466868e03bac70488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $426,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 37,526$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.13 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over | 3c | 23,424$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.45 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 3c | 15,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Over | 3c | 10,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Over | 3c | 9,308$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.09 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…7c86backed Over | 0c | 9,054$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 3c | 8,707$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 0c | 6,297$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 3c | 6,287$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 1c | 6,082$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Over | 3c | 5,095$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Over | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 2c | 4,533$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 3c | 4,447$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 2c | 4,388$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Over | 3c | 4,334$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 3c | 4,049$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 3c | 3,297$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…8d5fbacked Over | 3c | 3,005$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 3c | 2,542$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 3c | 2,197$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 3c | 2,108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 2c | 1,920$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 3c | 1,544$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 3c | 1,170$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 3c | 1,054$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 1c | 1,027$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 2c | 1,004$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…f805backed Over | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Over | 3c | 999.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 3c | 954.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 3c | 711.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…5b93backed Over | 2c | 638.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +90%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…b419backed Over | 3c | 613$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 3c | 569.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 427 | 55.5%237 W · 190 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb138…419bbacked Over | 3c | 350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5this page
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
- Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
- Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)England won
- Spread: Norway (-5.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.