Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d79c04cc30eec6dde12303ec4e34a5673adb5c670bd91e2d44e10eacfb64ba5

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $675,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $778,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,418 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x088b…21ccbacked Yes	22c	105,000$23,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,099.9	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61a8…e2f5backed No	73c	29,212$21,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,809.89	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	79c	22,610$17,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,707.38	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No	78c	19,617$15,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,315.79	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No	78c	17,918$14,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,901.39	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	77c	17,052$13,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,938.3	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes	22c	15,505$3,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,371.64	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	51c	11,454$5,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,841.69	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x673d…1a91backed Yes	54c	10,507$5,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,663.6	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes	35c	9,851$3,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,425.38	234	27.8%65 W · 169 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabad…6950backed Yes	21c	9,647$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	27c	9,603$2,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,610.5	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No	76c	9,179$6,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,184.71	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	8,499$1,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,585.97	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed No	78c	8,355$6,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,838.1	105	62.9%66 W · 39 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	75c	7,911$5,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,945.11	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed No	79c	7,605$6,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,562.65	338	43.5%147 W · 191 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…867ebacked Yes	15c	6,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No	78c	6,266$4,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,394.22	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed No	49c	6,123$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,122.59	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0677…1477backed Yes	15c	6,089$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.99	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes	13c	5,556$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.3	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	79c	5,252$4,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,123.48	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed No	49c	5,000$2,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,558.74	84	35.7%30 W · 54 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed No	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.99	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked No	49c	4,874$2,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,485.81	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2263…d47cbacked Yes	20c	4,686$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes	15c	3,832$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.14	191	25.1%48 W · 143 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+79.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a89…1239backed Yes	14c	3,571$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ff8…adc6backed No	50c	3,366$1,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,683.49	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cca…2841backed Yes	15c	3,307$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.78	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked No	45c	3,300$1,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,814.96	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+8.6wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	14c	3,250$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Yes	15c	3,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	45c	2,900$1,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,594.97	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No	79c	2,748$2,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.64	372	42.5%158 W · 214 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No	78c	2,531$1,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.27	508	50%254 W · 254 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed No	80c	2,500$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	67	26.9%18 W · 49 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.96	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	12c	2,483$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.32	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes	21c	2,381$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c05…fabfbacked No	68c	2,113$1,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.91	70	78.6%55 W · 15 L	+8.6wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No	76c	2,095$1,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.89	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3140…b176backed Yes	58c	2,055$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes	23c	2,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked No	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed No	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.99	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes	25c	1,924$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.08	142	31%44 W · 98 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Yes	16c	1,894$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked No	50c	1,870$929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940.59	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes	54c	1,869$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	145	23.4%34 W · 111 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+47%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes	23c	1,837$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.42	109	15.6%17 W · 92 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c0…22b4backed No	49c	1,599$778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.55	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc402…83f7backed No	78c	1,583$1,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.32	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked No	49c	1,488$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.48	94	66%62 W · 32 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes	15c	1,470$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.94	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…d782backed No	49c	1,438$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.02	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes	35c	1,432$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7e3cbacked Yes	25c	1,416$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.97	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69b3…dc76backed No	20c	1,402$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,121.79	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	15cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed Yes	23c	1,400$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5c1…0101backed Yes	51c	1,400$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.99	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	23c	1,304$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd47…17dfbacked No	77c	1,299$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.7	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes	13c	1,270$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.16	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed No	51c	1,262$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.54	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…21a2backed Yes	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaf4…a5c8backed Yes	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed No	48c	1,242$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.64	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7743…1baebacked No	49c	1,236$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.5	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	63c	1,218$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.29	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked Yes	52c	1,213$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.55	93	72%67 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	71cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed No	49c	1,123$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.97	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed No	50c	1,121$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.89	350	36.3%127 W · 223 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…9088backed No	78c	1,112$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.37	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Yes	54c	1,111$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed No	79c	1,111$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.31	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-5.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Yes	14c	1,111$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.93	192	47.9%92 W · 100 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+38%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6809…ff1cbacked Yes	14c	1,105$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes	14c	1,071$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	99	7.1%7 W · 92 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b1…03ecbacked No	50c	1,067$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.56	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+75.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32c9…a2ebbacked Yes	16c	1,063$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed No	49c	1,061$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.22	137	36.5%50 W · 87 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb962…055ebacked Yes	55c	1,052$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes	29c	1,051$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes	38c	1,050$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.62	218	46.8%102 W · 116 L	+19.9wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	14c	1,025$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.45	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked No	80c	1,022$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.22	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked No	77c	1,000$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea79…584fbacked Yes	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	84	48.8%41 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+37%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked No	47c	999.97$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.98	66	21.2%14 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes	53c	999.95$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.98	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes	22c	986.83$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.19	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c2…3a29backed Yes	20c	985.78$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.87	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x411d…a0b1backed Yes	20c	975$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe635…3162backed Yes	52c	969.68$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.54	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes	54c	925.93$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Yes	54c	925.93$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes	23c	919.48$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	163	42.9%70 W · 93 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Spread: England (-1.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-2.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-4.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-5.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event