TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$876,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$969,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $876,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b16…9281backed Over27c172,306$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,000911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-81.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over18c41,194$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5003925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over1c36,897$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0843139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under39c30,000$11,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,37513059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over12c9,905$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.651,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over17c9,304$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.899150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under35c9,248$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,988.43132.3%10 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+71.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over5c7,832$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.675320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over9c7,720$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.1569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over17c7,500$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.7517748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over13c6,051$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.7413725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Over18c5,800$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.538817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed Over25c5,429$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.6411942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over18c5,000$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over17c4,999$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.4321140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Over18c4,966$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.027856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under70c4,929$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.2744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over3c4,855$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.262,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over13c4,448$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over17c3,855$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.421,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over17c3,366$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.7872722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over18c3,041$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.368858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over17c2,893$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over8c2,791$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.146230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under75c2,705$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.398134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Under78c2,500$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.759662.5%60 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over19c2,486$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.561,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under56c2,124$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.062920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under79c2,111$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over17c2,000$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34526445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Under68c2,000$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.523944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over16c1,977$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.884,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under46c1,966$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.3933843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over19c1,927$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.621,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over8c1,730$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x990f…7f11backed Over18c1,723$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.142740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.912524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under75c1,632$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.861,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over27c1,530$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.3617747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over17c1,400$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0236031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over17c1,367$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.081,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over17c1,321$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23132922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under65c1,303$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over16c1,300$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20843826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over17c1,294$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over18c1,248$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under64c1,200$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43527543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…2a11backed Over9c1,196$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over40c1,135$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over18c1,115$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over22c1,095$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.156930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf55c…5ae5backed Over10c1,090$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Over22c1,061$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.519450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over16c1,000$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.546546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under62c1,000$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.511156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a1c…eb60backed Under47c1,000$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5355257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over12c999.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under69c970.05$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.722,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…9088backed Under78c962.47$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.342653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c937.28$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over17c914.09$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.681,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over19c900.25$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7509…1cd2backed Over17c900$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537418.9%14 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under79c900$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.752475%18 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under72c883.34$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.92,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over16c848.48$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406418.8%12 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over17c841$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.121,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over17c787.58$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4429813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Under78c753.35$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.859466%62 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over24c709.65$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2110330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5544…fe9ebacked Under75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1753036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over16c672.53$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.62,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Over22c657.49$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.412341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over11c609.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.357724.7%19 W · 58 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over18c599.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006926.1%18 W · 51 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over18c569.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0617…e371backed Over18c555.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007034.3%24 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a64…0ee6backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7afb…61eabacked Under78c500$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.512048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over18c500$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.54427.3%12 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+119.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over17c495.67$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.262,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over17c489.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1287938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over13c485.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8284738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…404cbacked Under79c482.54$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.542231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over11c470$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.78713.8%12 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…fc6bbacked Under78c469.8$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.185100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd582…4561backed Over21c465.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab21…d255backed Over17c453.11$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.271315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over21c443.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3322919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over14c443.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5878835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under61c435$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.722,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd27a…a9d1backed Under78c426.85$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.856368.3%43 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3270…e011backed Over12c411.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Over21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8428544.6%127 W · 158 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over18c400$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7119442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over13c393.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2837348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under79c381.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9325643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.