Spread: England (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ba4df783d9ab9c85352a1316fab4418133f57b1bfa8e0188a55b31c0404864c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Norwayof England, Norway
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $808,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $822,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $808,412 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked England	11c	427,305$48,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,071.83	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed England	7c	21,999$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.96	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed England	7c	18,345$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.89	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed England	13c	10,000$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England	10c	9,277$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.05	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64bf…9393backed England	11c	8,936$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.1	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked England	6c	8,747$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.12	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked England	11c	6,020$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.34	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England	11c	5,640$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.44	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed England	12c	4,800$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed England	9c	4,678$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.85	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfe9…5f53backed England	11c	4,332$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.35	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked England	4c	3,702$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.92	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed England	13c	3,500$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.5	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked England	11c	2,575$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.47	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed England	11c	2,400$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.05	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed England	11c	2,348$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.42	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed England	11c	2,241$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.49	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed England	12c	2,152$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+319.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked England	12c	2,092$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed England	12c	2,092$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked England	12c	2,000$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.08	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked England	11c	1,779$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked England	7c	1,727$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.14	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x304e…4747backed England	2c	1,450$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.88	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4f0…42debacked England	10c	1,435$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed England	11c	1,363$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.89	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x692d…42b1backed England	10c	1,341$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.84	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed England	10c	1,300$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.25	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked England	11c	1,250$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.01	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5daa…b7a9backed England	11c	1,228$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.81	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed England	11c	1,000$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed England	13c	1,000$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked England	13c	980$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.5	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed England	13c	960$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England	9c	916.87$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.24	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed England	10c	875$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.69	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa8…96cfbacked England	11c	824.26$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f23…40b4backed England	13c	800$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked England	12c	700$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed England	13c	699.99$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.5	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked England	11c	682.79$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed England	11c	620.96$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.41	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed England	11c	534.54$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.44	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked England	13c	525$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.63	151	49.7%75 W · 76 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked England	12c	506.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.11	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed England	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed England	2c	495.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	409	12%49 W · 360 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed England	2c	449.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked England	13c	380$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed England	10c	355.41$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.77	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked England	11c	332.78$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.17	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed England	11c	304.35$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	155	22.6%35 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed England	10c	300$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked England	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed England	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.51	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49a…c2f7backed England	11c	291.02$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.56	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked England	11c	267$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.04	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed England	10c	258.29$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.12	73	30.1%22 W · 51 L	-6.2wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7756…eaa6backed England	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-48%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed England	11c	225.16$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.65	57	21.1%12 W · 45 L	-4.8wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc26a…563cbacked England	7c	209.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…1cd2backed England	11c	200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	74	18.9%14 W · 60 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed England	11c	200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	332	21.7%72 W · 260 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed England	12c	200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	365	34.2%125 W · 240 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed England	10c	190.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked England	11c	155.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	164	18.9%31 W · 133 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed England	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.98	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed England	13c	150$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	459	49.5%227 W · 232 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed England	10c	146.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	373	23.1%86 W · 287 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c5e…6896backed England	11c	145$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.23	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked England	19c	140$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked England	20c	140$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.68	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed England	21c	140$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	175	33.7%59 W · 116 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked England	20c	140$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.1	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked England	8c	140$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked England	10c	132.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked England	11c	130.44$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked England	9c	125.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked England	10c	121.54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a1…2b1abacked England	10c	114.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked England	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked England	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	423	52%220 W · 203 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed England	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1330…b4b5backed England	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	129	27.1%35 W · 94 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed England	13c	80$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	358	48.3%173 W · 185 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: England (-2.5)this page
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: England (-1.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-4.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-5.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: England (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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