TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$356,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73bc…46cebacked Under45c62,529$28,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,350.7817852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c48,948$27,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,046.692,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under44c42,825$18,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,982.1177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c33,938$15,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,226.634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Over0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303010%3 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-77.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over56c21,417$11,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,976.4223942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Over56c19,813$11,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,095.243941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Under46c16,162$7,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,727.423023.3%7 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c13,328$7,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,610.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c10,045$5,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,425.42,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over54c7,482$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,040.068156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c5,652$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.422,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd476…f5d4backed Over54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under44c5,415$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.3946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over53c5,000$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c4,798$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.124,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over54c4,627$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.581,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under44c3,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under45c2,970$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.517747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8f…761dbacked Over60c2,787$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.985648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under46c2,751$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.9586455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over56c2,738$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.282,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Over56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c2,650$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.682,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over40c2,300$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under46c2,237$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.9497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over68c2,189$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.6314463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c2,139$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over49c2,055$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over54c2,024$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.9670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c2,000$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.733,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c2,000$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.63,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under60c1,913$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.042,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over54c1,900$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.998858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over54c1,775$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.557560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over54c1,668$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.695251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over54c1,596$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.92,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over41c1,575$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.7517241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under43c1,574$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.359752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9919823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over50c1,423$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.3214866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…872fbacked Over56c1,416$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7931546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over40c1,400$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56011044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f38…b090backed Over55c1,388$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.492161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under46c1,330$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.33,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over10c1,302$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.093,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under47c1,258$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.2126841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over54c1,233$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66620532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under46c1,178$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.741,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5219…a15bbacked Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under75c1,082$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.774,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…369bbacked Over68c1,029$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under44c1,001$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.5388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5302867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under44c999.96$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.981,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0915054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Over55c899.99$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.997550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over55c892.07$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6425150.6%127 W · 124 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcb…2941backed Over39c885.31$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.459753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebc…6bfdbacked Over68c882.35$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011357.5%65 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over56c844.85$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.362,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…da6ebacked Over54c750$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4056045%27 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da0…5fe0backed Over47c699.48$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.289336.6%34 W · 59 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over52c686.07$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.7647127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked Over4c677.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.766114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Over58c603.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Over54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32425418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under46c562.54$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.7711552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98ba…19b8backed Under45c550$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over4c518.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Over56c512$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.724639.1%18 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc02d…62c0backed Under44c511.36$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27020638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9932928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under46c499.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over56c472.65$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.688550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…dd2ebacked Over54c453.7$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under51c450.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9812853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa363…0ab2backed Over46c428.26$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1971442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over56c421.93$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2818548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d5…79ddbacked Over54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2164233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d67…7dacbacked Over54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2163630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed79…1e49backed Over65c399.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over69c381.16$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26322355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under66c376.61$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6625643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020025.5%51 W · 149 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031941.4%132 W · 187 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb51…388dbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007319.2%14 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f4…4a91backed Over54c370.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.818052.5%42 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over54c370.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.813948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.