TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c20…41b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
696
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Champions League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 51 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT27324.5%67 W · 206 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 273 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.76
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.65
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+192.3%+$31.76
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$19.49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$35.7
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Showing 25 of 273 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT18118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 181 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.31
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$10.76
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.78
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$85.99
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.11
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.69
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 181 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT17323.1%40 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.71
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.61
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.65
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.23
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+354.5%+$78
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34.44
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.89
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.51
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$54.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$60.62
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.59
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.