Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d579efeb9c060306ee3c20cc5caedbb3b1fac7051f256abf2fc7bbfad589d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $633,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $675,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 440 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 60c | 100,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,999.99 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 61c | 67,148$40,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,259.03 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 51,719$20,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,054.02 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 40c | 36,729$14,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,691.6 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 28,485$17,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,156.53 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 45c | 23,889$10,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,762.06 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 61c | 19,379$11,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,551.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 16,113$6,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,303.92 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 51c | 15,000$7,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,395.54 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 39c | 12,500$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.98 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 60c | 10,511$6,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.77 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 10,390$5,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 60c | 8,800$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 8,107$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.43 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed No | 40c | 8,085$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851.3 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 60c | 7,179$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.11 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 41c | 6,601$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.35 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 5,824$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.95 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 39c | 5,105$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.26 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 61c | 5,000$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.98 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…99f3backed Yes | 7c | 4,913$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 60c | 4,739$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.4 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 59c | 4,021$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.66 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 40c | 4,003$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.02 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 60c | 4,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 38c | 3,900$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 60c | 3,547$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.29 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 59c | 3,420$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.3 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 40c | 3,398$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 38c | 3,050$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes | 39c | 2,950$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.38 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 40c | 2,785$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.89 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b767backed Yes | 41c | 2,482$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 39c | 2,408$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.78 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 59c | 2,298$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.23 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes | 41c | 2,227$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.87 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 41c | 2,098$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 39c | 2,071$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.44 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 50c | 2,021$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.78 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…fd08backed Yes | 7c | 1,939$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 61c | 1,831$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.64 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 60c | 1,809$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.53 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 29c | 1,782$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.1 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 1,651$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.68 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 62c | 1,441$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.01 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,320$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…e891backed Yes | 40c | 1,318$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +297%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59e…29babacked Yes | 60c | 1,292$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked No | 41c | 1,221$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 61c | 1,127$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.23 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 27c | 1,101$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b4…827fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,088$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 41c | 1,045$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.51 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 60c | 1,013$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.68 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 40c | 1,003$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 60c | 999.96$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.98 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes | 41c | 960.02$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 40c | 945.9$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.36 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d2…e592backed Yes | 61c | 900$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa194…911cbacked Yes | 62c | 818.46$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 62c | 800$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9d…e71abacked Yes | 38c | 787.68$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 60c | 784.11$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.47 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 61c | 699.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 61c | 623.07$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 37c | 600$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 53c | 569.94$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.41 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 61c | 562.3$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 528.74$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…a431backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…0531backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.