TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed No74c20,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,8006142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c9,788$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,242.81,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No73c5,737$4,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,188.339856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes26c5,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c3,426$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes27c2,445$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.86829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c2,132$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.352,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4602466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c1,443$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.064,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c1,191$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.62,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes79c1,167$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.581,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes26c1,155$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.4172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No43c1,074$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.0225530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No73c999.98$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.994250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes27c740$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.22725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No74c739.35$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.126350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Yes69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes27c704.7$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.71040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes27c629.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.632231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes27c605.56$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.5610626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No33c551.67$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No17c499.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8615735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes26c461.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.5327748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No74c452.1$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.551145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29219732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes26c399.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No74c398.61$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.812272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6217234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes28c360$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.23531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No23c358$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No73c321.15$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.449358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes26c314.26$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b2…f5d5backed Yes26c303.85$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.851338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes69c288.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.624654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes64c258.72$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.146056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes59c248.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.098839.8%35 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No39c242.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6417748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No36c239.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes27c235.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9820027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Yes26c230.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.774639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes27c222.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.225050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes26c219$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0638233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes26c210.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.812324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+53.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes79c196.15$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.492,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes27c193.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.351936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd771…90a3backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed No11c170.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae5…3cddbacked Yes26c169.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.17785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+90.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes22c165.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4610733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb902…8105backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes60c154.38$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7512741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked No47c150.37$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.093043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes27c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.52425%6 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1515534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No74c141$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.341,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No41c110.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2645142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No76c103.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2182763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7345224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7327227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.994753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c91…3a65backed Yes60c96.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fcd…32f3backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.591241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5911736.8%43 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5911839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.593228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Yes27c81.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.584949%24 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes27c80$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.49938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No21c79.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.528736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ec…6fc4backed Yes25c76.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.321625%4 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d8e…841dbacked Yes25c76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+73.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x095b…6f34backed No39c74.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0716142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.076241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No29c73.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4426319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes27c70.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.424440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+62.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes23c70.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549625%24 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes65c69.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2311044.5%49 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed No74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da8…a481backed Yes76c58.08$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-34.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes78c57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5411557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a7…7c17backed Yes27c56.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed No74c54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60fc…1031backed Yes27c53.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.142934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.540157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378336.1%30 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.55255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No73c49.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.520958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No73c49.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.499460.6%57 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No30c47.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.626028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b6c…0b29backed No30c46.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.894341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes58c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.