TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c97…874a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$64.86
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.12
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$44
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
Middlesbrough FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Southampton FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Millwall FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$55.68
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$23.48
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58.99
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+455.6%+$118.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.