Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdac54894ae079a4a7ec58f550809bcdfa520a37dbecafc548936d84dafe67eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $437,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 74c | 45,587$33,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,645.03 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 67c | 24,735$16,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,136.75 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 62c | 21,175$13,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,008.73 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 43c | 17,110$7,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,354.11 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…3545backed No | 51c | 14,420$7,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,302.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 42c | 13,635$5,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,957.53 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked No | 21c | 13,555$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.27 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 59c | 12,395$7,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,123.11 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…1d68backed No | 20c | 12,222$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 44c | 11,588$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,521.85 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed No | 55c | 10,867$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,941.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 39cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…35d9backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed Yes | 63c | 9,915$6,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.31 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…8d3ebacked No | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.18 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…df12backed No | 58c | 8,404$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 46c | 7,989$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.23 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…eaa6backed No | 26c | 7,560$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed No | 31c | 7,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 35c | 6,495$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.67 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…799ebacked No | 13c | 6,435$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…3330backed No | 11c | 6,359$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 26c | 6,278$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.17 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 65c | 5,515$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.87 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…1639backed No | 22c | 5,420$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b3…4575backed No | 65c | 5,198$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…2726backed No | 28c | 4,801$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…a20abacked No | 58c | 4,488$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab32…1eedbacked No | 10c | 4,377$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 30c | 4,140$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 39c | 4,049$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.1 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…018ebacked No | 60c | 4,040$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097e…b149backed No | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6306…852abacked No | 55c | 2,600$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320d…ee08backed No | 63c | 2,545$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked No | 57c | 2,504$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.94 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 44c | 1,700$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,644$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.79 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…0d22backed No | 14c | 1,618$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…6236backed No | 62c | 1,531$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c7…fa37backed No | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed No | 54c | 1,500$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed No | 15c | 1,457$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.88 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed No | 18c | 1,350$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.45 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…3db1backed No | 52c | 1,147$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,113$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.82 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed No | 15c | 1,071$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked No | 28c | 1,000$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8611…21fdbacked No | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 46c | 974.66$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.66 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…5c15backed No | 59c | 848.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…6fc8backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed No | 34c | 835.47$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 54c | 653$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.62 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…84c7backed Yes | 56c | 625.09$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked No | 13c | 578.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…a92fbacked No | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 54c | 509$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.66 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…8c91backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…686dbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…4eddbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 64c | 439.77$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.45 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…0757backed No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed No | 62c | 375.55$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 69c | 363$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc6…0d99backed No | 7c | 350.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…25e8backed Yes | 55c | 348.52$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…4ac7backed No | 33c | 333.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…8b16backed No | 67c | 332.97$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…ffc7backed Yes | 79c | 298.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 61c | 283.79$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.05 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…fd1fbacked No | 62c | 280$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…96f9backed No | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…cb3dbacked Yes | 59c | 254.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…6a4ebacked No | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…3501backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked No | 32c | 217$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 72c | 212.64$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…3a36backed Yes | 37c | 203.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…45bbbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…3045backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…4bd7backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…b621backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…02c3backed No | 58c | 148.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Yes | 54c | 144.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…c911backed Yes | 38c | 139.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…781cbacked Yes | 75c | 136$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f5…cba3backed No | 57c | 123.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…5d7bbacked No | 50c | 120.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 59c | 110.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4300 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.