Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3f19363b648d8ceb449a5f937a135862e726e4c4a75034cc447dcc528240f11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 15c | 13,939$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.47 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 12c | 12,127$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.27 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 11,973$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.71 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 16c | 9,080$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.93 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318f…d375backed Yes | 16c | 9,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 12c | 8,800$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.99 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 8c | 6,984$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.08 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 12c | 5,908$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.1 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 11c | 5,736$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.52 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…befdbacked Yes | 13c | 5,185$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…28d9backed Yes | 1c | 5,026$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…2d16backed Yes | 15c | 4,569$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 15c | 4,492$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.52 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20db…17d4backed Yes | 14c | 4,243$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e82…24fabacked Yes | 15c | 3,999$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f1…4bf3backed Yes | 8c | 3,696$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 5c | 3,620$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…ea16backed Yes | 16c | 3,327$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6801…abd3backed Yes | 16c | 3,200$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…91aabacked Yes | 16c | 3,067$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb02…de06backed Yes | 16c | 2,681$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…c9e3backed Yes | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 10c | 2,338$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…8030backed Yes | 5c | 1,853$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8939…ecd7backed Yes | 12c | 1,788$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…ad86backed Yes | 11c | 1,477$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb645…326abacked Yes | 12c | 1,477$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e6…625fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,368$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8574…717bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,357$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…ae04backed Yes | 15c | 1,345$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…e856backed Yes | 12c | 1,324$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…9c5bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,312$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…8042backed Yes | 12c | 1,287$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…fd52backed Yes | 12c | 1,267$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b4…34bebacked Yes | 12c | 1,233$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…41c6backed Yes | 14c | 1,205$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…8c07backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9423…b493backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…ad5fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,192$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c1…99fbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,190$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +292.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…8c05backed Yes | 12c | 1,176$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…6299backed Yes | 12c | 1,154$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…938dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,152$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…96a6backed Yes | 12c | 1,152$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…2b7abacked Yes | 14c | 1,152$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…7defbacked Yes | 15c | 1,150$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…f4d3backed Yes | 15c | 1,143$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1b…269ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,138$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…d925backed Yes | 13c | 1,118$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,114$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.21 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 79c | 1,100$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…2b65backed Yes | 13c | 1,100$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…41f9backed Yes | 16c | 1,088$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada3…23cdbacked Yes | 13c | 1,087$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…8650backed Yes | 15c | 1,087$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9b…db14backed Yes | 13c | 1,082$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…373dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,075$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cc…1cfabacked Yes | 14c | 1,059$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8878backed Yes | 12c | 1,059$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbe…769dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,055$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f9…c9fabacked Yes | 14c | 1,051$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…ecd9backed Yes | 13c | 1,039$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…4751backed Yes | 13c | 1,037$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165f…7db3backed Yes | 13c | 1,033$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…5f74backed Yes | 15c | 1,024$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeac…ba13backed Yes | 13c | 1,018$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…44dabacked Yes | 13c | 1,015$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…7773backed Yes | 13c | 1,009$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…3727backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…5e29backed Yes | 13c | 997.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…f832backed Yes | 12c | 973.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…4936backed Yes | 12c | 970.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…b4bfbacked Yes | 14c | 957.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0a…eb8fbacked Yes | 14c | 951$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e0f4backed Yes | 13c | 947.23$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…1729backed Yes | 14c | 946.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…c348backed Yes | 14c | 940.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…2f00backed Yes | 13c | 932.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…ee6fbacked Yes | 14c | 911.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…9a08backed Yes | 15c | 908.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…6374backed Yes | 16c | 891.65$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bf…b5bcbacked Yes | 14c | 878.15$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…52a1backed Yes | 15c | 872.62$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…ba90backed Yes | 15c | 868.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…8ae9backed Yes | 15c | 863.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…12f4backed Yes | 14c | 861.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…2bd1backed Yes | 14c | 854.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…b36abacked Yes | 15c | 850.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f1…7cdbbacked Yes | 14c | 841.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…64f1backed Yes | 14c | 833.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…6e1fbacked Yes | 14c | 826.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…8fd1backed Yes | 14c | 819.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016f…a242backed Yes | 14c | 814.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a02…1000backed Yes | 15c | 810.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…fd1ebacked Yes | 14c | 801.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a5…2107backed Yes | 15c | 800.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…ad67backed Yes | 15c | 783.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4300 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.