Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8a33b3f58a7d0d654956706f5a61d0357b6bdd4ad36d7b4f407ce69ea4d367a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 22c | 22,051$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.02 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 20c | 16,442$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.56 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 29c | 10,464$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.11 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 6c | 9,907$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.41 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 71c | 8,888$6,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.51 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…1e1abacked Yes | 4c | 8,096$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 23c | 8,006$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…9f03backed No | 58c | 7,155$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 21c | 6,393$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.27 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 77c | 5,704$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.09 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 32c | 5,039$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.49 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 4,965$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 33c | 4,855$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.32 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 24c | 4,107$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.63 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…cdc2backed No | 75c | 4,100$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 77c | 3,674$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 8c | 3,650$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.64 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 2c | 3,619$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…2726backed Yes | 31c | 3,600$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 22c | 3,574$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.88 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,928$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.33 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,643$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 78c | 2,451$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,999$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.76 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 32c | 1,899$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.28 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,785$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…b722backed Yes | 22c | 1,540$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes | 34c | 1,528$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.3 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 17c | 1,430$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.23 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…8030backed Yes | 18c | 1,391$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…7a94backed No | 73c | 1,369$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 67c | 1,350$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 27c | 1,032$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.35 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 80c | 1,000$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.96 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8f39backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b6…fb3bbacked Yes | 21c | 912.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 23c | 899.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…79b1backed Yes | 22c | 809.22$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked No | 77c | 783.45$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.45 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…8517backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…5eb2backed No | 76c | 718.13$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c90ebacked No | 74c | 687.23$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe0…c212backed Yes | 24c | 658.62$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…4bc0backed No | 79c | 634.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…d034backed No | 71c | 599.99$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 9c | 554.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b6…9adfbacked No | 67c | 516.03$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…6fc8backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…a055backed No | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…428abacked Yes | 25c | 412.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…481fbacked No | 76c | 408.36$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 17c | 400$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9423…b493backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 15c | 399.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…4bd7backed Yes | 25c | 354.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8149…f490backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed Yes | 20c | 314.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c0…b5acbacked No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…d046backed No | 65c | 309.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed Yes | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 27c | 292.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 63c | 285.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…efc1backed Yes | 25c | 283.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…1da2backed Yes | 25c | 278.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked No | 71c | 274.82$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…84c7backed No | 78c | 267.47$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdb…44b2backed No | 72c | 224.03$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ae…7db9backed No | 78c | 216.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c35…79b1backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed No | 74c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…8c07backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +58%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7471…d10dbacked Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f3…ae51backed Yes | 21c | 194.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed No | 76c | 169.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9742…8559backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…1076backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked No | 78c | 152.56$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 70c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76f…4a16backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…983dbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…6c64backed No | 57c | 141.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 25c | 137.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4f…0652backed Yes | 26c | 132.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…ab0cbacked No | 76c | 130.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…5facbacked No | 77c | 130.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…9ffcbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…ecccbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed No | 74c | 103.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4300 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.