TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,360,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,343,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,360,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f51…531ebacked Yes2c100,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000520%0 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes44c39,173$17,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,420.4719535.4%69 W · 126 L-13.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes46c39,098$18,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,079.5363835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes4c36,329$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.118425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0921…263ebacked Yes3c30,612$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900368.3%3 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes39c22,309$8,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,807.9487828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes6c22,203$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.9912824.2%31 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e0…7586backed No37c22,094$8,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,850.441833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13cb…a48abacked Yes2c20,368$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.219913.1%13 W · 86 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes1c19,681$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.578010%8 W · 72 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd980…5be0backed Yes1c17,719$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2111210.7%12 W · 100 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+120.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes0c16,715$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.161360%0 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked No49c16,557$8,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,446.722544%11 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes15c16,066$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.1922216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x252d…c456backed Yes37c14,548$5,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,341.5347721.6%103 W · 374 L-21.2wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed No46c13,625$6,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,333.82339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c13,477$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.431,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked No47c13,260$6,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,992.3815023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a19…c9e3backed Yes2c13,055$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.16140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b98…df12backed No27c12,522$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,121.821163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3eb…8d3ebacked No26c12,502$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,201.851080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe64e…2143backed Yes58c12,066$7,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,008.361145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ee…7182backed Yes13c11,625$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…aee4backed Yes2c10,894$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked Yes68c10,649$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,250.131050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc823…a910backed No64c10,360$6,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a9…677ebacked Yes1c10,244$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed No48c10,049$4,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,260.4324654.9%135 W · 111 L+16.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed No48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2004450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c9…8beabacked Yes1c10,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a8…3592backed Yes50c9,917$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7164…9db6backed Yes74c9,593$7,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,098.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551b…dfd1backed Yes56c8,235$4,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,584.711513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeec0…37c1backed Yes2c8,000$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.85220%0 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No53c7,967$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,752.445869%40 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc81…4eddbacked Yes20c7,769$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9970%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x092c…667fbacked Yes1c7,274$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5d…4197backed No54c7,193$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,316.23812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-76.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79f8…9f03backed No54c6,510$3,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.751850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0020…0d22backed Yes1c5,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes54c5,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6806950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No35c4,912$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,194.12065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4290…e2c0backed Yes61c4,512$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.028428.6%24 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x526e…3bd0backed Yes68c4,436$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a1…e175backed Yes0c4,194$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c0…cce8backed Yes1c4,122$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.170%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes12c3,732$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.295324.5%13 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes1c3,700$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.751414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes43c3,523$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.877423%17 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0856…dd1abacked Yes47c3,159$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.644555.6%25 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+47.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes31c3,063$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.7125824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…0a62backed Yes73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1902040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes60c2,932$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.0612259.8%73 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x954e…1e1abacked Yes18c2,851$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50080%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes57c2,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42513863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa601…d54ebacked No36c2,432$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.373732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38b…8996backed No41c2,342$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.833740.5%15 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes52c2,177$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.0212431.5%39 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…8030backed Yes1c2,088$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.650%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88c…c75dbacked No49c2,023$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e5…d10bbacked No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3349…5821backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832f…a0e1backed Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06a…a476backed Yes1c1,983$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.570%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a26…8acbbacked No37c1,833$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.227139.4%28 W · 43 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Yes23c1,735$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.8119439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…74dabacked No61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.34955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3301…4dd8backed Yes3c1,600$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51024.9%5 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes5c1,597$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.93422.4%1 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-78.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa050…3e54backed Yes1c1,573$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a7…49f7backed No78c1,323$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.959546.3%44 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…842fbacked Yes3c1,140$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a55…cfc4backed No27c1,130$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.695156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0556…b36abacked Yes1c1,067$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-86%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4f…552fbacked No49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc453…2bcdbacked No23c1,005$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.95554.5%30 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7458…fecfbacked Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f9…55f0backed No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb2…b265backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002045%9 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd996…ea1ebacked Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes51c998.59$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.8755032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff0…399ebacked No49c991.24$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed No37c900$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5687048.6%34 W · 36 L+13.9wins+0.20per pick29cpaid+58.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xeae5…33c1backed Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010315.5%16 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick18cpaid+28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes66c800.32$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.6314075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa3b1…3bcabacked No61c790.21$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd3…68d5backed No60c767.66$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c7…79b1backed No44c763$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4451…fcbebacked Yes53c750$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.54643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47aa…09e9backed Yes66c680.5$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9390%0 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaefe…d7d4backed No64c626.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.562850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes49c573.36$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5613561.5%83 W · 52 L+16.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0ee8…cfaabacked Yes56c561.94$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.211855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6155…a903backed Yes9c550$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d1…8c91backed No44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes3c495$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.856417.2%11 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+163.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked Yes60c494.97$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7515754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9e…c707backed Yes43c469.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d2…f53dbacked No51c439.81$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…3a5dbacked No23c435.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.331520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.