Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x366b858fc84c0c30a64b9228a019cf4077c2a455f2112cdb10a1e03e3cdc9ea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,360,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,343,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,360,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 2c | 100,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 44c | 39,173$17,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,420.47 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 46c | 39,098$18,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,079.53 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 4c | 36,329$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.1 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0921…263ebacked Yes | 3c | 30,612$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 39c | 22,309$8,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,807.94 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 6c | 22,203$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.99 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 37c | 22,094$8,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,850.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 2c | 20,368$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.21 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 19,681$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 1c | 17,719$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 16,715$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 49c | 16,557$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,446.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 15c | 16,066$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.19 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 37c | 14,548$5,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,341.53 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed No | 46c | 13,625$6,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 13,477$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 47c | 13,260$6,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.38 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…c9e3backed Yes | 2c | 13,055$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.16 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…df12backed No | 27c | 12,522$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,121.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…8d3ebacked No | 26c | 12,502$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,201.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…2143backed Yes | 58c | 12,066$7,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,008.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 13c | 11,625$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…aee4backed Yes | 2c | 10,894$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 68c | 10,649$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc823…a910backed No | 64c | 10,360$6,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 48c | 10,049$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,260.43 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 50c | 9,917$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…9db6backed Yes | 74c | 9,593$7,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,098.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed Yes | 56c | 8,235$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.71 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 2c | 8,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 53c | 7,967$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.44 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…4eddbacked Yes | 20c | 7,769$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…667fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,274$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…4197backed No | 54c | 7,193$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…9f03backed No | 54c | 6,510$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…0d22backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 35c | 4,912$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.1 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed Yes | 61c | 4,512$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.02 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 68c | 4,436$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…e175backed Yes | 0c | 4,194$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…cce8backed Yes | 1c | 4,122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 12c | 3,732$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.29 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes | 1c | 3,700$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 43c | 3,523$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.87 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 47c | 3,159$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.64 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 31c | 3,063$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.71 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…0a62backed Yes | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,932$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.06 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…1e1abacked Yes | 18c | 2,851$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked No | 36c | 2,432$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.37 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 41c | 2,342$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.83 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 52c | 2,177$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.02 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…8030backed Yes | 1c | 2,088$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88c…c75dbacked No | 49c | 2,023$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…5821backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…a0e1backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…a476backed Yes | 1c | 1,983$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked No | 37c | 1,833$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.22 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 23c | 1,735$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.81 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…74dabacked No | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes | 5c | 1,597$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa050…3e54backed Yes | 1c | 1,573$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 78c | 1,323$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.95 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed No | 27c | 1,130$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.69 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…b36abacked Yes | 1c | 1,067$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -86%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked No | 23c | 1,005$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.9 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…55f0backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…b265backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd996…ea1ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 51c | 998.59$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.87 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff0…399ebacked No | 49c | 991.24$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed No | 37c | 900$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 66c | 800.32$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.63 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b1…3bcabacked No | 61c | 790.21$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd3…68d5backed No | 60c | 767.66$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…79b1backed No | 44c | 763$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 53c | 750$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…09e9backed Yes | 66c | 680.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed No | 64c | 626.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 49c | 573.36$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.56 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…cfaabacked Yes | 56c | 561.94$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…a903backed Yes | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…8c91backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 3c | 495$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 60c | 494.97$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.75 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…c707backed Yes | 43c | 469.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…f53dbacked No | 51c | 439.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…3a5dbacked No | 23c | 435.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4300 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.