Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac467d24aeb510a7783288301a63d4f52e2dc6395546cef1571e02253123867f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,494,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,458,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,494,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 45c | 62,846$28,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,204.44 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed No | 59c | 60,264$35,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,745.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 27c | 51,108$13,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,649.05 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…1b90backed Yes | 23c | 49,122$11,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,243.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 46,925$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.64 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 40c | 43,216$17,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,237.12 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 28c | 41,865$11,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,724.44 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 36c | 34,133$12,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,407.49 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 32c | 34,016$10,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,849.47 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 30c | 33,262$10,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,085.59 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 34c | 28,122$9,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,568.07 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 27c | 21,504$5,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.29 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 1c | 19,104$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 10c | 16,816$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.86 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 73c | 15,807$11,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.75 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Yes | 1c | 15,122$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x795c…2093backed No | 33c | 13,265$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,849.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…0a62backed No | 76c | 11,677$8,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,954$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 63c | 10,658$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.89 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c9a2backed No | 54c | 10,250$5,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 37c | 9,862$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675.44 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 34c | 9,535$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.69 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 1c | 9,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09b…78e9backed No | 67c | 8,931$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,862$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed No | 68c | 8,501$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed No | 46c | 7,835$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.36 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…5267backed Yes | 1c | 7,515$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…1935backed Yes | 1c | 7,295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 6,010$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed Yes | 53c | 5,845$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.46 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 48c | 5,480$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.25 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7e…ec06backed Yes | 16c | 5,165$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 27c | 5,138$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 71c | 4,940$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.42 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 56c | 4,916$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.71 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 24c | 4,889$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.94 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc823…a910backed No | 80c | 4,480$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…ddcabacked Yes | 55c | 4,393$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 19c | 4,306$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.09 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…f771backed Yes | 1c | 3,791$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -82%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…4dc2backed Yes | 31c | 3,779$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 28c | 3,552$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.77 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa210…8c13backed Yes | 0c | 3,209$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…cce8backed Yes | 1c | 3,209$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 37c | 3,100$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.23 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked No | 57c | 3,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,848$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 29c | 2,843$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde75…8596backed Yes | 7c | 2,823$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…438abacked Yes | 21c | 2,738$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed No | 51c | 2,587$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.72 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 75c | 2,552$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.51 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…0a72backed Yes | 22c | 2,509$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 32c | 2,500$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,310$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.68 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…0d22backed No | 19c | 2,308$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07c…63dabacked Yes | 2c | 2,222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 41c | 2,205$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.06 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 24c | 2,100$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…4eddbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…1ab2backed Yes | 5c | 1,981$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…8ca1backed No | 64c | 1,961$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Yes | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…ffc7backed Yes | 41c | 1,881$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes | 41c | 1,794$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.38 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…f88fbacked No | 72c | 1,726$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 75c | 1,659$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.62 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 13c | 1,637$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…3fc6backed No | 35c | 1,580$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Yes | 27c | 1,569$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked No | 33c | 1,563$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…9619backed Yes | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 6c | 1,419$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…7a94backed No | 71c | 1,418$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 42c | 1,416$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.12 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…5521backed Yes | 1c | 1,347$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…16dfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,335$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed Yes | 41c | 1,298$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.49 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…0fbabacked Yes | 2c | 1,264$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes | 46c | 1,204$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.39 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 39c | 1,200$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.34 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 56c | 1,166$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.53 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…818bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,059$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cda…cee7backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed No | 78c | 1,040$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…e68bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…4815backed Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 59c | 919.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…a78bbacked No | 73c | 896.38$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked No | 60c | 883.96$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.9 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 54c | 883.3$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4e…c020backed Yes | 79c | 871$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…4ac7backed No | 45c | 861.11$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.61 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked No | 33c | 845$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4300 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in September?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.