TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0ce…3fc6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-58.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+103.7%+$70.86
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68.9%+$40.8
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.2
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.2
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$181.03
Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$71.6
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.5
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$303
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$439
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+187.4%+$1,030.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+203%+$30.45
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+44.9%+$18.6
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Spread: Ravens (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+143.9%+$30.22
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+144.8%+$41.4
Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30.25
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$13.94
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.16
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+100.5%+$19.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+48.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+66.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$39.76
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$44.81
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$39.76
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+185.3%+$292.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+66.7%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.