MLB · resolved market
NLDS: Mets vs. Phillies Game 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x270027c6202898339e13a7400aa266d084b1b2ac5122fc8022f5b831aa6f5ac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Phillies | 51c | 74,763$38,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,115.8 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Mets | 49c | 59,111$28,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,147.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mets | 49c | 7,046$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.33 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 48c | 5,795$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.59 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Mets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mets | 50c | 3,969$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.92 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mets | 53c | 3,531$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.9 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…af59backed Mets | 51c | 2,469$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…746cbacked Mets | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…a51dbacked Phillies | 51c | 2,153$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…38a5backed Phillies | 51c | 2,104$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed Phillies | 57c | 2,014$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Mets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Phillies | 38c | 1,935$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…09a0backed Mets | 51c | 1,784$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Mets | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…4e6cbacked Mets | 53c | 1,125$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…41f3backed Phillies | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Mets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Phillies | 52c | 929.56$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.37 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed Mets | 51c | 690.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…6ed5backed Mets | 50c | 658.66$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…570abacked Mets | 50c | 616.77$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Mets | 48c | 609.66$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.43 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…6f4ebacked Phillies | 50c | 586.72$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mets | 68c | 584.56$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e785backed Phillies | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…ab60backed Mets | 51c | 560.78$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Phillies | 4c | 552.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d5…7b65backed Mets | 51c | 548.57$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Phillies | 27c | 542.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…73f2backed Phillies | 55c | 529.53$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Phillies | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…5da4backed Phillies | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380d…58a1backed Mets | 51c | 450$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Phillies | 52c | 421.36$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Phillies | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675b…822abacked Phillies | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…d2abbacked Mets | 50c | 381$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…e526backed Phillies | 50c | 364.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Mets | 48c | 346.22$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed Phillies | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…4551backed Mets | 77c | 314.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…10d1backed Phillies | 50c | 306.2$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Phillies | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Phillies | 51c | 296.37$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…e10fbacked Mets | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…01b3backed Phillies | 52c | 293.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed Phillies | 51c | 291.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Phillies | 18c | 259$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Phillies | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 30c | 241.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…d00bbacked Phillies | 50c | 241$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa4…8151backed Mets | 50c | 241$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Mets | 60c | 239.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…bbc4backed Phillies | 50c | 238.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…696abacked Phillies | 51c | 223.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dad…36c2backed Mets | 50c | 221.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…6654backed Mets | 51c | 221.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…926ebacked Phillies | 51c | 221.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Phillies | 45c | 220.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…5fc6backed Phillies | 51c | 206.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…a62abacked Mets | 50c | 206$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Mets | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Phillies | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…efd5backed Phillies | 51c | 196.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…5e3ebacked Phillies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…6a59backed Mets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…127ebacked Mets | 51c | 194.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9e96backed Phillies | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed Phillies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…302abacked Mets | 50c | 185.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f0…9b26backed Phillies | 52c | 164.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…f0b8backed Mets | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…0592backed Mets | 50c | 154.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…595cbacked Phillies | 52c | 140.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093e…0c34backed Mets | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…797fbacked Phillies | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…80c2backed Phillies | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Phillies | 51c | 101.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…d94abacked Mets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…9bb8backed Phillies | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Mets | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…3fc6backed Mets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Mets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…f1debacked Phillies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Phillies | 52c | 94.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked Phillies | 52c | 90.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Phillies | 43c | 88.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Phillies | 51c | 80.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2087…78a4backed Phillies | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…8840backed Phillies | 52c | 65.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…5845backed Mets | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…86debacked Phillies | 53c | 59.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…dd2ebacked Mets | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Mets | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…fdc1backed Mets | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Mets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Mets | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 49c | 49.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.