TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb8e0…d94a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.54
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.9
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.99
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$56.61
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.3
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.36
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$132
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.52
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$82
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$97.18
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$76
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$209.2
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.2%+$28.72
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.6%+$68.58
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+566.7%+$339.99
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+212.5%+$340
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$58.89
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$15.87
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$28.62
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.9
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$43.25
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.8
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.9
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-83.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
Iran Nuke in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 4backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
NLDS: Mets vs. Phillies Game 3backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2024, EDT+100%+$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+78.6%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$60.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coca-Cola say "Trump" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.