Token Launches · resolved market
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24bff5f42b508fb6ac2df89195d9835b89b828bd4e3513f7f07ef30814233547
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,782,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,781,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,782,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 920 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ccf…79fbbacked Yes | 40c | 102,800$41,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,268.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…19b8backed Yes | 37c | 75,000$27,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,475 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 67c | 58,566$39,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,253.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…82cfbacked Yes | 36c | 50,335$17,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,365.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…9931backed Yes | 35c | 49,250$17,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,914 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…0034backed Yes | 41c | 43,964$18,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,723.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.34per pick | 35cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed Yes | 65c | 40,731$26,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,146.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…f1a1backed Yes | 27c | 39,100$10,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,386.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +265%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…cf10backed No | 60c | 36,000$21,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,456 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d86…ad02backed No | 60c | 35,900$21,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,396.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…f004backed No | 60c | 30,900$18,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,416.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed Yes | 56c | 26,849$14,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,946.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…d75abacked No | 64c | 26,669$17,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,148.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…4378backed No | 63c | 26,150$16,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,552.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…6c6dbacked No | 65c | 24,850$16,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,102.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…ea8ebacked No | 63c | 24,450$15,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,476.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b28…b31fbacked No | 64c | 24,446$15,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,718.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969d…edbcbacked No | 65c | 24,400$15,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,811.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…a70dbacked No | 63c | 24,400$15,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,445.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 80c | 23,988$19,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,913.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1921backed Yes | 28c | 22,401$6,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,043.83 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…e8a1backed No | 70c | 20,799$14,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,509.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…83bebacked Yes | 27c | 20,000$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,580 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +147%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 72c | 19,166$13,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,743.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x956d…7999backed Yes | 24c | 19,100$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,458.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +311.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…ed6abacked Yes | 22c | 19,100$4,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,840.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +348.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed No | 42c | 18,659$7,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,839.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…2de2backed Yes | 76c | 15,597$11,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked No | 44c | 13,606$6,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…5a8dbacked No | 40c | 13,099$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 34c | 12,910$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.83 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 34c | 12,189$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.28 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e8…9656backed No | 73c | 11,200$8,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,131.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 39c | 11,197$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.48 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a719backed No | 73c | 10,600$7,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,716.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…56dbbacked No | 73c | 10,600$7,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,695.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…7fbdbacked No | 25c | 10,350$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 55c | 9,435$5,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…d601backed No | 12c | 9,000$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…2c27backed No | 73c | 8,800$6,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,388.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 42c | 8,797$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,137.04 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 42c | 8,687$3,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.65 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…5e7fbacked Yes | 62c | 8,607$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed No | 47c | 8,596$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.57 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed No | 0c | 8,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…f18abacked No | 73c | 8,500$6,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,171 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…0a71backed No | 74c | 8,500$6,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked No | 52c | 8,200$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.35 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed Yes | 68c | 8,139$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.03 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…c6c3backed No | 20c | 8,000$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 68c | 7,963$5,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,425.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d27…5350backed No | 21c | 7,569$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…1223backed No | 35c | 7,456$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 7,331$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…a41abacked Yes | 43c | 6,582$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dc…9c9cbacked Yes | 70c | 6,347$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 40c | 6,104$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.14 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 47c | 5,805$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.41 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…2bd5backed No | 15c | 5,159$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…6cc6backed No | 33c | 5,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1549…46f6backed No | 23c | 5,000$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.69 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…cc4ebacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…c41dbacked No | 30c | 4,830$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed No | 2c | 4,731$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4d…59e6backed No | 64c | 4,672$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 4,598$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.33 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 33c | 4,575$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 73c | 4,566$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…1917backed No | 17c | 4,539$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.12 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed No | 1c | 4,400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…b66bbacked No | 46c | 4,355$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…a58ebacked Yes | 28c | 4,313$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.85 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 61c | 4,279$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.89 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 54c | 4,201$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.64 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Yes | 43c | 4,132$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 37c | 4,083$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.9 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…2580backed No | 27c | 4,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a4…64e1backed Yes | 74c | 4,000$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc261…6fbfbacked Yes | 77c | 4,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf834…c4cebacked No | 20c | 4,000$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 52c | 3,926$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.99 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…d72abacked No | 53c | 3,796$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ce…6e30backed Yes | 47c | 3,786$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed Yes | 65c | 3,740$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.52 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf2…28d9backed No | 73c | 3,733$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked No | 56c | 3,644$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.49 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…d4febacked Yes | 40c | 3,597$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 30cpaid | +657.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 40c | 3,400$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.38 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…a929backed Yes | 36c | 3,400$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 38c | 3,385$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…5ae3backed No | 47c | 3,372$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…8cd8backed Yes | 56c | 3,345$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +181.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…74bcbacked Yes | 63c | 3,318$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +215.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…f496backed No | 30c | 3,170$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.49 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…d02bbacked Yes | 20c | 3,068$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.39 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +8.2wins | +0.59per pick | 34cpaid | +617.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…3a32backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 26c | 2,999$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.72 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…8d5bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,996$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?this page
- USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.