Token Launches · resolved market
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0e60764a3827a8c93ed961c73cfb02b0b6bf6820b8c8cb94fa99af46de9094c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $422,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 17c | 24,984$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed Yes | 78c | 23,388$18,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.26 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…2bd5backed No | 6c | 16,500$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…2de2backed No | 16c | 16,422$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1921backed No | 14c | 15,338$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.4 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked No | 4c | 13,214$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 20c | 12,327$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.56 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1549…46f6backed No | 8c | 10,000$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.21 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 8c | 9,932$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…d72abacked No | 11c | 6,856$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 10c | 6,195$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.16 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 23c | 6,003$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.92 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 18c | 5,413$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.76 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 78c | 5,259$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.16 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…6a5cbacked No | 14c | 5,000$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…d65dbacked No | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Yes | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed No | 24c | 3,301$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.37 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed No | 1c | 3,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 79c | 3,100$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 19c | 3,073$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.05 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…d732backed Yes | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb01…b811backed Yes | 77c | 2,703$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…a563backed No | 13c | 2,692$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.66 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 9c | 2,650$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.04 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…0393backed Yes | 79c | 2,438$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…2c54backed Yes | 75c | 2,431$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…c41dbacked No | 17c | 2,360$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 13c | 2,346$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.56 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…e4f1backed No | 23c | 2,232$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 10c | 2,074$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.57 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 2,072$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 21c | 2,032$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.4 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +166%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 32c | 2,007$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.67 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 71c | 2,004$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.88 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 15c | 1,983$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.31 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…f99fbacked No | 15c | 1,888$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…b6f4backed No | 13c | 1,554$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…8983backed No | 22c | 1,543$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed No | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,499$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…d4febacked Yes | 70c | 1,423$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 30cpaid | +657.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…e18abacked Yes | 72c | 1,394$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.68 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…0050backed No | 18c | 1,317$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked No | 11c | 1,300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…7017backed No | 4c | 1,256$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed No | 13c | 1,228$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…a61dbacked No | 18c | 1,222$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 17c | 1,200$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,099$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.87 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 15c | 1,076$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a1…d158backed No | 14c | 1,029$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 1,022$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…bb86backed No | 13c | 1,000$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…7e7dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 1,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed No | 36c | 861.41$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…1ebebacked No | 8c | 823.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed No | 32c | 800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 35c | 788.66$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.82 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 12c | 781.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 20c | 717.37$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…b0abbacked No | 10c | 714.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 700$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…61e1backed No | 15c | 699.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…5db1backed No | 17c | 650.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 16c | 624.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 3c | 604.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…b2bdbacked No | 35c | 600$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.62 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…b6cbbacked No | 26c | 580.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed No | 18c | 580.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed No | 23c | 570.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed No | 12c | 558.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked No | 3c | 518.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89d…151dbacked No | 19c | 517.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 18c | 514.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…d35fbacked No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…cc03backed No | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…bfd9backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed No | 26c | 464.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…4d42backed No | 13c | 450$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 23c | 373.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 18c | 357.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…3e85backed No | 31c | 349.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…4637backed No | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2611…bc17backed No | 27c | 328.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed No | 15c | 324.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -69%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…73c4backed No | 20c | 303.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…683ebacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2f…9b76backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…c4debacked No | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8881…e889backed No | 15c | 299.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 64c | 292$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…2c62backed No | 34c | 291.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?this page
- USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.