Token Launches · resolved market
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c5974b64df0ec88ca480cec91e9438365651613de5136df57162a3c6d441083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $695,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $760,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 42c | 37,684$15,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,879.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ce…6e30backed Yes | 18c | 31,111$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,611.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 50c | 23,737$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750.25 | 180 | 60%108 W · 72 L | +19.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 55c | 20,000$10,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 58c | 13,764$8,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,008.21 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Yes | 53c | 12,265$6,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,711.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 57c | 10,652$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,068.67 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…450bbacked No | 51c | 10,000$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…2bd5backed No | 46c | 8,105$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 9c | 7,898$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,176.9 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…a586backed Yes | 24c | 7,540$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,695.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…504abacked Yes | 15c | 6,656$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,668.37 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…cd6cbacked Yes | 28c | 5,845$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +246.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed No | 58c | 5,699$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.64 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed Yes | 35c | 5,315$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.84 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea0…536fbacked Yes | 29c | 4,896$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…e32ebacked Yes | 51c | 4,888$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.46 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 42c | 4,863$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.05 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa61a…3d71backed Yes | 10c | 4,791$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…41fbbacked No | 56c | 4,647$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.33 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 54c | 4,342$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.6 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…a41abacked No | 72c | 4,225$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.38 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…8bb4backed No | 47c | 3,946$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 52c | 3,878$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.48 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…8b12backed Yes | 8c | 3,631$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +529.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…dfefbacked Yes | 10c | 3,603$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +2,773.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 68c | 3,511$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.26 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…d4febacked Yes | 34c | 3,494$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 30cpaid | +657.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 43c | 3,458$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.47 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 61c | 3,443$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.92 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked No | 65c | 3,236$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.69 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…8332backed Yes | 8c | 3,047$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 75c | 3,019$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.31 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…eecfbacked No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 43c | 3,000$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.23 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f420backed Yes | 20c | 2,964$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +978.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed No | 28c | 2,950$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.5 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed No | 41c | 2,800$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…5026backed Yes | 36c | 2,666$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.66 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 9c | 2,664$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.78 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…6180backed Yes | 31c | 2,620$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…de1cbacked No | 50c | 2,611$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…9f50backed Yes | 59c | 2,603$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…2619backed Yes | 21c | 2,410$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…ef57backed Yes | 4c | 2,356$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.61per pick | 19cpaid | +1,118.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…5f82backed No | 40c | 2,339$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…976bbacked No | 62c | 2,325$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…c659backed Yes | 9c | 2,287$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.13 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…be58backed Yes | 57c | 2,150$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…04ebbacked No | 59c | 2,100$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…047ebacked No | 51c | 2,044$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.44 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed No | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…c69bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 66c | 1,984$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.18 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e33…22febacked Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +361.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…74bcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,919$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +215.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…8cd8backed Yes | 4c | 1,895$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +181.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…d02bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,874$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.8 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +8.2wins | +0.59per pick | 34cpaid | +617.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…a0e7backed Yes | 53c | 1,863$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +495.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…177fbacked No | 44c | 1,837$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.59 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 36c | 1,770$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.85 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…45cfbacked Yes | 57c | 1,769$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked No | 8c | 1,768$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…c41dbacked No | 70c | 1,763$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 1,747$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.44 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,734$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.02 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,697$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.95 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,674$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.32 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 76c | 1,666$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…f8cdbacked Yes | 53c | 1,620$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.46 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 35c | 1,614$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.54 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 21c | 1,600$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.2 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…2c9dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,586$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +2,349.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 59c | 1,564$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 80c | 1,550$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.91 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 9c | 1,523$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +995.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…9fcabacked No | 47c | 1,504$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.99 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…27efbacked No | 59c | 1,478$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…2828backed No | 55c | 1,454$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…526dbacked No | 53c | 1,431$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,366$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.18 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +166%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…7eafbacked Yes | 52c | 1,342$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 54c | 1,335$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.09 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 3c | 1,301$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.66 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…3a01backed Yes | 36c | 1,279$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.59 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 8c | 1,258$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.45 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…5266backed Yes | 41c | 1,245$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.84 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 1,199$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…772dbacked No | 55c | 1,173$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…c0d8backed No | 53c | 1,159$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c07…2907backed No | 55c | 1,144$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 1,134$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.23 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked No | 57c | 1,129$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…4db4backed Yes | 48c | 1,120$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 5c | 1,107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?this page
- USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?Yes won
- USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?No won
- USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.