TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6ac…c69b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$188.25
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nico O’Reilly: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$238.77
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$168
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+102.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$106
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+2,458.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+4,247.8%+$977
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$1,391.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+316.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+233.3%+$700
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+400%+$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,317.18
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+100%+$4,270.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$204
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$216
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.