Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa76a7ecac374e7e37f9dd7eacda947793f23d2886ffe0dc28fcc081a7f61423c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,077,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,155,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,077,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 54c | 281,936$152,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,978.43 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed No | 48c | 163,163$78,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,776.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 2c | 150,628$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 56c | 116,970$65,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,156.57 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed No | 60c | 83,868$50,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,498.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 51c | 81,081$41,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,476.86 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 63c | 71,343$44,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,395.37 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 49c | 62,493$30,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,572.95 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 54c | 60,990$32,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,078.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed No | 50c | 41,414$20,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,872.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…85b9backed No | 37c | 40,895$14,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,979.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 61c | 38,468$23,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,047.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 52c | 38,161$19,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,308.89 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a08…9513backed Yes | 53c | 37,519$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,518.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed Yes | 59c | 37,295$21,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,303.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…d732backed No | 58c | 34,947$20,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,273.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 55c | 32,646$17,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,751.21 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 49c | 29,399$14,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,393.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…8835backed Yes | 57c | 26,193$14,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,258.96 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 39cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…7badbacked Yes | 47c | 25,505$12,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,493.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…f934backed Yes | 33c | 24,950$8,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,687.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +251%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…a862backed No | 52c | 24,894$12,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,868.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed Yes | 59c | 24,256$14,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,923.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb4…c292backed No | 24c | 24,239$5,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked No | 55c | 22,976$12,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,564.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 58c | 21,773$12,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,575.23 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 56c | 21,642$12,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,582.11 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…90f3backed No | 54c | 20,077$10,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,873.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Yes | 51c | 20,000$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…95e6backed Yes | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…cc4fbacked No | 45c | 19,566$8,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,784.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 49c | 19,473$9,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,618.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.9wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 57c | 19,052$10,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,222.98 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 47c | 18,028$8,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,397.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…1e6cbacked Yes | 44c | 17,707$7,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,862.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 64c | 17,660$11,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,358.89 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 48c | 16,839$8,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,697.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…9de5backed No | 35c | 16,757$5,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,825 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked No | 40c | 16,415$6,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,589.9 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Yes | 76c | 15,679$11,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Yes | 40c | 15,439$6,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,244.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9574backed Yes | 51c | 13,756$7,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,740.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 1c | 13,574$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…2f87backed No | 31c | 13,260$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 52c | 13,125$6,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,877.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 46c | 12,190$5,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591.97 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 57c | 11,612$6,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,618.79 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d71…410ebacked No | 0c | 11,060$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…92eebacked Yes | 39c | 10,950$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,725.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 33c | 10,464$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…15e4backed Yes | 60c | 10,232$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.81 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 62c | 10,111$6,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838.85 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8d…2a69backed Yes | 52c | 9,645$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644.19 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 55c | 9,605$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.04 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 79c | 9,258$7,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.6 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 62c | 8,860$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…c69bbacked Yes | 50c | 8,540$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…29ebbacked No | 41c | 8,000$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…6ee8backed Yes | 56c | 7,956$4,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…3d59backed Yes | 54c | 7,946$4,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 1c | 7,777$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked No | 49c | 7,750$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…fb2abacked Yes | 48c | 7,558$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Yes | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…de7fbacked Yes | 61c | 7,371$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf200…cf95backed Yes | 54c | 7,346$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 56c | 7,259$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 60c | 7,192$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.89 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…0633backed Yes | 55c | 7,002$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 52c | 7,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a1…0ee9backed Yes | 43c | 6,904$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…5553backed No | 43c | 6,809$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Yes | 51c | 6,528$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked No | 51c | 6,489$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 44c | 6,365$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 77c | 6,336$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 34c | 6,115$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 52c | 6,076$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c01…67f8backed Yes | 49c | 6,045$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Yes | 52c | 5,639$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…2e23backed Yes | 46c | 5,628$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e1…fab0backed No | 3c | 5,608$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…bf0abacked Yes | 49c | 5,587$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7379…79f0backed No | 38c | 5,419$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…5ecdbacked Yes | 45c | 5,303$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6f…25f8backed Yes | 51c | 5,251$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 26c | 5,156$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 65c | 5,124$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.61 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 54c | 5,089$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.38 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…0a9abacked No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…1baebacked No | 25c | 4,888$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a9…1f13backed No | 16c | 4,886$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked Yes | 49c | 4,800$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.88 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed No | 43c | 4,734$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 43c | 4,680$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.14 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…119dbacked Yes | 64c | 4,578$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec6…33f2backed Yes | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.