TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5bb…a429

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST4151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+59.2%+$372
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,677Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+114.9%+$6,522.75
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12,539Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+64%+$8,019.35
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,910Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+83.3%+$4,090
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,119.98
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+67.5%+$431.19
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$3,050
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,350
Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,407.9
Will Ethereum dip to $3,100 November 3-9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,650
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,650
Will XRP reach $3.40 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$4,400
Will Solana reach $250 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$6,800
Will XRP reach $3.30 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$5,099.99
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$2,299.96
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,599Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$4,399.6
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$2,000
Will Solana reach $300 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Solana reach $250 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$4,900
Will Ethereum reach $4,900 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$5,500
Will XRP reach $3.20 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$4,700
Will Solana dip to $195 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,740
Will Bitcoin dip to $116,000 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,253.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $118,000 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,224.6
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series New Zealand vs South Africa Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.36
T20 Nigeria Invitational Tournament, Women: Ghana vs Zimbabwebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
T20 Nigeria Invitational Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs South Africabacked Nigeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$740
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,400
Will Pakistan reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+171.2%+$946.99
WPL: Gujarat Giants Women vs UP Warriorz Womenbacked UP Warriorz Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$997.91
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$99.82
CSA T20 Series: North West vs Dolphins (Game 1)backed North West · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,600
ICC WWC: New Zealand vs. Bangladeshbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$260
ICC WWC: Australia vs. Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,940
ICC WWC: England vs. South Africabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$46.3
ICC WWC: Bangladesh vs. Pakistanbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$3,050
ICC World Test Championship: Australia vs. South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+202.3%+$562.36
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$960
Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$660
Gujarat Titans vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$799.99
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+77.1%+$435.39
Punjab Kings vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,200
Sunrisers Hyderabad vs. Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
Gujarat Titans vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$946.79
Delhi Capitals vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,180
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,529.23
Gujarat Titans vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,649.98
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.82
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.9%+$675.31
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$29.55
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$450
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$6,163.94
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$604
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$6,951.05
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$405
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$753.24
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+354.5%+$1,170
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,065.16
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$450
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$470
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$916.37
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+90.5%+$950
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$980
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$470
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$128
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+54.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+87.5%+$1,399.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,240
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,564.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$840
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.