Cricket · resolved market
Will Pakistan reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa06d535f3994d24e306aa29d0e54f778e5b578c17f4c4852e7a12e0d31bd8253
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Yes | 14c | 405.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed Yes | 24c | 302.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 15c | 279.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 265.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked No | 28c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed No | 54c | 176.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…9da6backed Yes | 73c | 175$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…ea7fbacked Yes | 72c | 75.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa10…8f6bbacked Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…7334backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabc…6905backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pakistan reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?this page
- Will Afghanistan reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will Australia reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will England reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?Yes won
- Will India reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?Yes won
- Will Italy reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?Yes won
- Will South Africa reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sri Lanka reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will West Indies reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will the Netherlands reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.