TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Will Sri Lanka reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,024 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3aae…d860backed Yes45c143$64 inLost-$64.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c9…fde2backed Yes45c134$60 inLost-$60.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29ee…402dbacked Yes45c134$60 inLost-$60.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafdd…13a5backed Yes45c133$60 inLost-$59.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b34…f0a3backed Yes45c133$60 inLost-$59.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3d…275fbacked Yes45c128$58 inLost-$57.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x261f…8b26backed Yes45c125$56 inLost-$56.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8729…383fbacked Yes45c124$56 inLost-$55.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9568…d313backed No55c115$63 inWon+$51.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc75…7180backed No55c115$63 inWon+$51.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73ac…e17ebacked No55c114$63 inWon+$51.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…071ebacked No55c111$61 inWon+$49.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb47…38acbacked No55c108$59 inWon+$48.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb505…b5a8backed No55c108$59 inWon+$48.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f5b…6cdbbacked No55c107$59 inWon+$48.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a06…87a3backed No55c105$58 inWon+$47.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1c…5b9ebacked No55c102$56 inWon+$45.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6208…979dbacked No55c102$56 inWon+$45.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe450…91b9backed No74c75.34$56 inWon+$19.39459.6%56 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No47c62.81$29 inWon+$33.44560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+127.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb36…1ce3backed Yes60c59.03$36 inLost-$35.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3483…4637backed Yes51c50$26 inLost-$25.58527.1%23 W · 62 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd8…cb7abacked Yes45c33$15 inLost-$14.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b1…9b98backed Yes37c29$11 inLost-$10.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d2…b34bbacked No63c29$18 inWon+$10.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.