TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa4d2…b34b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.28
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$15.68
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+73.7%+$8.91
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.7%+$29.67
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+114.7%+$18.7
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+113%+$12.2
Suns vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+85.8%+$27.71
Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.77
Pistons vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Nets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.11
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+107.8%+$16.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Red Wings vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.7
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.88
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$32.4
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.76
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.36
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19.38
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
KHL: Traktor vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+63.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+125.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.3%+$10.13
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+165.4%+$36.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-17.5)backed Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+90.7%+$10.94
Spread: Fordham Rams (-8.5)backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+110.2%+$18.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alec Pierce be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$20.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North West release an album by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$15.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+80.6%+$18.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sri Lanka reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+57.9%+$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$72.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.