NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf67eb448d3f57f9aa3cde6c5abb3c83e2d8cdc402f217fe1e675a339fee46ff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Suns, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Suns | 35c | 30,000$10,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,466.84 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Spurs | 65c | 22,093$14,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,732.52 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 66c | 5,961$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Spurs | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs | 65c | 404$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Spurs | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Suns | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Suns | 18c | 118.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Spurs | 69c | 94.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9b98backed Suns | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d2…b34bbacked Spurs | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Suns | 31c | 50.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Spurs | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…89a4backed Spurs | 55c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Suns | 45c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Suns | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…c888backed Spurs | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs | 67c | 16.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Suns vs. SpursSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.