NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe23bf4720748af3200ef5219937d631e5b915c98f7ada01c1d4e2a126fa6af32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,993$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 53c | 2,333$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.49 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Over | 53c | 660$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 581.36$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.12 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 56c | 500.65$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 53c | 485$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.05 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 433.27$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Under | 47c | 424$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.72 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 44c | 400.93$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 51c | 371.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.7 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 29c | 277.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 48c | 257.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 215.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 47c | 212.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 209.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 56c | 190$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 145.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 131.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 58c | 98.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 33c | 79.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 69c | 70.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 70.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 57.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 43c | 55.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Under | 56c | 50.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 56c | 44.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 44.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 27c | 42.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…b005backed Under | 76c | 35.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 35c | 30.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 49c | 25.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Over | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 57c | 23.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 68c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Over | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Under | 73c | 19.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Over | 55c | 18.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5this page
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Suns vs. SpursSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.