NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a1955e6936a013a45c686efd56991cea00740c70dea092dd3bd2793d47e5712
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 63c | 473.51$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 448$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 438.04$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 55c | 415$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.25 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over | 62c | 321.48$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 48c | 314.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 38c | 279.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…116abacked Over | 54c | 270.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 38c | 244.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 212.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 199.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 53c | 199.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Over | 62c | 176.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 44c | 144.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 58c | 136.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…cd81backed Over | 42c | 123.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 121.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 48c | 119.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…896cbacked Over | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 62c | 90.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 61c | 81.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 79.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 77.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 40c | 76.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 53c | 73.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 59.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…cd8bbacked Over | 55c | 56.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 40c | 54.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 38c | 48.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 59c | 47.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 58c | 40.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 39c | 39.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 63c | 34.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 27.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 27.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 26.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 48c | 26.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Under | 48c | 25.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49cb…dd4dbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 57c | 19.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5this page
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Suns vs. SpursSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.