NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8898087fb254f9b331d5f0f0402a5043640e5ddf1158b9658663d3d397cdafb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 52c | 9,952$5,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,167.69 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 5,929$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 1,389$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 1,177$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 940.65$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 54c | 910.26$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.17 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 49c | 840.82$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.82 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 52c | 664.53$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.55 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5311…e776backed Under | 47c | 338.17$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 333.64$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Over | 56c | 324.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Over | 57c | 179.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 57c | 166$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 161.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 43c | 111.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 32c | 82.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 66.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 43c | 62.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Under | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 45c | 48.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 54c | 43.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 41.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Under | 49c | 41.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked Over | 51c | 39.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 35.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…55b9backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 50c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Under | 48c | 28.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 55c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Under | 48c | 24.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over | 53c | 24.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 53c | 22.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5this page
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Suns vs. SpursSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.