NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x964dfe8d6a7b040f1ba00f42324bb6feb62820d49eb4b4bc0a526b0b88de4aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 49c | 145,329$71,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,125.05 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 51c | 143,527$73,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,198.64 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Spurs | 49c | 40,902$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,901.6 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Suns | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Spurs | 49c | 16,255$7,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,290.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Suns | 52c | 11,127$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,731 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Suns | 49c | 9,631$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.64 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 52c | 8,034$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Suns | 53c | 7,654$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,056.54 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 47c | 7,600$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Suns | 51c | 6,808$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.12 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Spurs | 52c | 4,750$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.85 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Suns | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.92 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Suns | 33c | 2,935$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 50c | 2,086$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 47c | 1,649$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.92 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Suns | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Suns | 52c | 1,496$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.93 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,353$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Suns | 52c | 1,349$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.44 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 51c | 1,107$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 48c | 1,090$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,085$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.41 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs | 77c | 1,053$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.05 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Suns | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Suns | 53c | 918$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.54 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Spurs | 47c | 870.25$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.23 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 52c | 779$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.08 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Spurs | 48c | 733.29$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.31 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 47c | 693.02$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns | 53c | 618.27$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.42 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Suns | 55c | 485.23$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb016…ddaebacked Suns | 29c | 405.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 47c | 376.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.14 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Suns | 53c | 375.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Spurs | 72c | 370.81$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Spurs | 48c | 341.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.03 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 63c | 303.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Spurs | 47c | 299.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.2 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Suns | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 53c | 251.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 48c | 248.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Suns | 53c | 218$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Suns | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Spurs | 60c | 184.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 49c | 175.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 45c | 169.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Suns | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Suns | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Suns | 53c | 143.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Suns | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Spurs | 47c | 125.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Suns | 55c | 123.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Spurs | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs | 55c | 103.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Spurs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Suns | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Suns | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd075…3d1fbacked Suns | 50c | 98.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Suns | 52c | 87.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Suns | 52c | 79.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Suns | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Suns | 28c | 67.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Suns | 53c | 57.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Suns | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Suns | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…0f97backed Suns | 54c | 55.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Spurs | 71c | 52.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Suns | 53c | 52.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Suns | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Spurs | 47c | 48.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Suns | 32c | 43.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Spurs | 48c | 42.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Suns | 53c | 41.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Suns | 53c | 40.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Spurs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Spurs | 47c | 40.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6b01backed Suns | 53c | 37.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Suns | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 49c | 36.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Spurs | 48c | 36.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Suns | 54c | 35.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Spurs | 57c | 35.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Spurs | 57c | 34.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 180 | 60.6%109 W · 71 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd7…e9f5backed Suns | 53c | 30.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa885…84debacked Spurs | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Spurs | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Spurs | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Spurs | 48c | 28.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c2…63f7backed Spurs | 48c | 28.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…159ebacked Spurs | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e3…8796backed Spurs | 48c | 26.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Suns | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)this page
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Suns vs. SpursSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.