NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd23ff1af01d95557667ad719235e490190fad03d650a40ff3972584874dc97f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Spurs | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Spurs | 55c | 7,984$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.99 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Suns | 45c | 7,400$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.98 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 45c | 7,053$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.85 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 54c | 5,126$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 44c | 3,226$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.64 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Spurs | 55c | 3,010$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.65 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Spurs | 55c | 2,910$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.65 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…3004backed Spurs | 56c | 2,896$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Spurs | 56c | 2,787$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.28 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Spurs | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Suns | 11c | 992.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 55c | 681$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 56c | 588$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.43 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 54c | 550.71$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 56c | 442.56$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Suns | 13c | 317.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 44c | 304$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Spurs | 55c | 273.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.65 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Suns | 45c | 268$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Suns | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Spurs | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Spurs | 56c | 183.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Spurs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Suns | 45c | 168.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Suns | 46c | 165$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Spurs | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Spurs | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Spurs | 56c | 142.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Suns | 45c | 134$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Suns | 49c | 122.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Spurs | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Spurs | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Spurs | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Spurs | 54c | 97.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Suns | 45c | 93.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Suns | 45c | 93.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871b…b344backed Spurs | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Spurs | 56c | 81.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 55c | 77.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Spurs | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 55c | 70.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Suns | 45c | 65.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Suns | 44c | 58.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Suns | 44c | 55.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Spurs | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Suns | 34c | 50.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Suns | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Suns | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Suns | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0d…8b53backed Suns | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Suns | 45c | 42.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Spurs | 61c | 41.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Spurs | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 41c | 40.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Spurs | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Spurs | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Suns | 38c | 38.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Spurs | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…4b40backed Spurs | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Suns | 45c | 30.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Suns | 45c | 30.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Spurs | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Spurs | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Suns | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Suns | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Suns | 43c | 26.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Spurs | 55c | 25.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Suns | 45c | 24.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Suns | 45c | 24.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Spurs | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Spurs | 56c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs | 57c | 18.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)this page
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Suns vs. SpursSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.