TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$618,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$622,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,841 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Spurs52c395,035$205,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,616.8287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns48c389,777$187,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187,260.9887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns48c72,899$35,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,058.811,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Spurs52c19,576$10,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,309.591,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs51c18,448$9,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,053.182,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Spurs52c16,510$8,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,935.5251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Suns48c13,025$6,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,302.1617241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs51c13,003$6,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,358.441,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Spurs52c12,222$6,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,866.7419754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns48c12,161$5,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7601,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Spurs51c11,040$5,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,364.3924045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Spurs52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9848343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Suns50c9,953$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs52c9,855$5,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,771.834,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Suns49c6,500$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18558449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Suns48c6,186$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Suns49c6,079$2,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.6316339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns46c6,009$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1057…9ea5backed Spurs53c5,602$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Suns48c5,311$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.2766250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Suns47c5,279$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.2343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Suns48c5,215$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50348546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs51c3,738$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.384,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Spurs53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.997759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Spurs51c2,844$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.4515450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs51c2,184$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.162,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Suns48c2,135$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02517356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Spurs52c2,124$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.6851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Suns48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Suns48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Suns48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9910847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Spurs52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns49c1,797$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.361,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Suns48c1,771$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns48c1,668$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns48c1,387$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.143,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs51c1,314$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6423,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Suns48c1,173$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.2520352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs51c1,125$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.211,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Spurs52c1,098$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.864553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs49c1,040$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.552,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Suns13c1,028$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.543,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Suns48c945$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.611940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Suns48c914.76$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0836045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Spurs53c900$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.4750653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs53c899.82$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.2789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Spurs51c878.08$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.2623850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs49c863.61$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.445,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Suns48c854.87$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Spurs52c833.3$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9841553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Suns49c795.79$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9441652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Suns7c786.06$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.61,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Spurs53c782.66$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.8512642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Suns48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35021045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Spurs51c713.73$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.7350954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Spurs53c696.23$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2352951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs51c605.74$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.274,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Spurs53c584.26$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.64658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Spurs53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.048851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Spurs53c505.05$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7622048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Suns47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23549345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Suns47c434.04$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20442648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Suns48c415.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6751451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Suns49c409.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked Suns49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003060%18 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Suns26c402$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.621642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Spurs51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19625951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Suns48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210445.2%47 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs51c367.02$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.844,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Spurs51c300.01$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1477648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Suns46c299.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13828929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns46c299.79$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.311,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Spurs74c298.38$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.540243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Suns47c297.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Spurs52c256.17$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9426638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns49c253.26$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.633,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Suns46c240.29$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.531,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Spurs53c236$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.929443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Spurs53c235.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.852250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs52c233.21$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.833,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs51c222.05$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.551,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Spurs56c214.13$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0817046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac8f…c775backed Suns49c202.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc871…7d99backed Suns35c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6546826.5%124 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Spurs53c196.03$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1318446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Suns48c195.42$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.862450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Spurs52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.678652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Spurs52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.37251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Spurs54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1936449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Suns49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Spurs53c163.14$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.895147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Suns49c162.09$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8316250%81 W · 81 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Suns50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Spurs51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2523051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Spurs75c133.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9910546.7%49 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Spurs53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.088942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.