TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe97…89e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
330
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT28251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 282 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.88
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$57
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nique Clifford: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.69
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.28
Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.29
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$19.87
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.29
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$24.7
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$25.72
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.18
Showing 25 of 282 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$102.29
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17.66
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34.29
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$32.31
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$85.8
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$42.9
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+177.8%+$28.44
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.88
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+88.2%+$74.12
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+213.9%+$104.81
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26.31
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.29
Spread: Patriots (-10.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$18.54
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.49
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22.79
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+270.4%+$42.11
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Penguins vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$35.1
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$26.29
Islanders vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$33.71
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.88
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Ducks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+64.7%+$12.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$62.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bearsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$12.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.