NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e9cf6c7905c11c8acac158634f11ca0133a23bf44eb3a58fe0ba1d8dedba938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Hornets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,266 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 47c | 31,069$14,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,485.04 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets | 53c | 20,633$10,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,935.25 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hornets | 53c | 19,043$10,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,002.64 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Heat | 48c | 7,883$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.91 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Heat | 47c | 7,173$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.69 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Heat | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Heat | 47c | 6,617$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.03 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 53c | 6,251$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets | 52c | 5,043$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.51 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 57c | 4,874$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.91 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 47c | 4,355$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.98 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.96 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Heat | 47c | 2,823$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.29 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hornets | 51c | 2,788$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Heat | 47c | 2,779$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.82 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Hornets | 55c | 2,326$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 47c | 1,946$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.32 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Heat | 47c | 1,843$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.55 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 47c | 1,599$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.46 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd922…e85bbacked Heat | 47c | 1,585$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Hornets | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,447$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.89 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked Heat | 47c | 1,394$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.62 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 47c | 1,263$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 53c | 1,208$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.21 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Hornets | 50c | 1,148$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.73 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Hornets | 52c | 1,067$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…f9c9backed Heat | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Hornets | 43c | 1,016$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.26 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Hornets | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Hornets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Hornets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 53c | 999$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.47 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 47c | 958$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Heat | 47c | 816.51$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.42 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Heat | 53c | 783.34$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.17 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 46c | 747.13$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets | 41c | 740.67$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Heat | 48c | 719.22$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.99 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Hornets | 55c | 618.18$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Heat | 49c | 595.23$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.57 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat | 52c | 594.74$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.96 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Hornets | 55c | 555.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.79 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Heat | 47c | 496$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.88 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Hornets | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked Heat | 46c | 450.43$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Heat | 44c | 334.82$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Heat | 47c | 333$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Heat | 47c | 331.2$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Heat | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 53c | 308.46$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Heat | 47c | 302.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.13 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…de94backed Hornets | 55c | 299.76$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…54ebbacked Heat | 45c | 299$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Hornets | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Heat | 47c | 274.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat | 54c | 265$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hornets | 49c | 254.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Heat | 45c | 248.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 47c | 232.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Hornets | 53c | 212.76$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 50c | 202.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Heat | 50c | 200.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Hornets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Hornets | 54c | 197.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Heat | 46c | 194.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Hornets | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Hornets | 48c | 189$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d068backed Hornets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f1…04e9backed Hornets | 54c | 185.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Hornets | 53c | 185.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Heat | 59c | 182.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…41b7backed Heat | 47c | 181$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Heat | 45c | 180.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…aed4backed Heat | 47c | 173$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7548…604cbacked Heat | 47c | 169$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…f8efbacked Heat | 47c | 166$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Heat | 44c | 159.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 43c | 157.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Heat | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Heat | 51c | 144.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Heat | 58c | 141.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Heat | 52c | 131.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Hornets | 53c | 119.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Hornets | 53c | 117.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Hornets | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Heat | 51c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Heat | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Hornets | 48c | 105.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Heat | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Heat | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Hornets | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Hornets | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Heat | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…d0eebacked Hornets | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Heat | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Heat | 45c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Heat won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Heat vs. HornetsHeat won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.