NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd071b00ce35bb65e76284c82a4e851194054de6033026e8b9ecacbb7e54af36e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Hornets, Heat
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $179,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,081 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat	53c	55,818$29,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,234.54	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets	47c	31,901$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd47a…b2d4backed Hornets	47c	21,257$9,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,990.85	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat	53c	15,280$8,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,140.79	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Heat	55c	15,000$8,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,750	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	53c	14,984$7,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,004.04	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Hornets	45c	14,640$6,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,588	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Hornets	47c	12,766$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e4…ca67backed Hornets	47c	10,755$5,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,055	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Hornets	47c	10,638$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Hornets	47c	9,681$4,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,550	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	54c	8,049$4,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,702.65	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Heat	53c	7,000$3,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,290	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Hornets	45c	6,667$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Hornets	46c	5,204$2,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,393.69	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets	39c	5,077$1,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985.13	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0824…7099backed Hornets	47c	4,783$2,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,247.94	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hornets	47c	4,136$1,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,943.92	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Heat	53c	4,000$2,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,880	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Heat	61c	4,000$2,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Heat	55c	3,621$1,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,629.5	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Hornets	47c	2,820$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325.19	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Heat	54c	2,467$1,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,134.85	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Hornets	47c	2,408$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131.56	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Heat	55c	2,380$1,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070.99	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Heat	55c	1,750$963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.5	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat	53c	1,588$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.04	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat	49c	1,389$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.81	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd5…09c2backed Heat	55c	1,300$715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Heat	51c	1,219$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.02	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Heat	52c	1,171$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.18	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hornets	45c	1,080$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Heat	55c	1,000$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat	61c	963.79$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.22	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Hornets	45c	784.35$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.96	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	53c	748$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.56	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets	46c	736.53$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.8	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets	31c	655.96$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.47	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Heat	69c	581.92$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.92	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat	56c	517.44$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.53	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Heat	54c	504.79$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.1	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Heat	57c	490.08$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.18	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat	54c	483.4$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.37	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Hornets	59c	424.26$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Heat	56c	400$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Hornets	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets	44c	380.82$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.56	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39bb…8d44backed Heat	56c	380.82$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.56	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Heat	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Heat	54c	370.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.35	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Heat	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hornets	41c	348.22$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.99	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Heat	53c	318.81$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.66	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Hornets	45c	314$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.3	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets	46c	285$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.1	364	49.7%181 W · 183 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Heat	56c	250$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Heat	56c	249.87$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.32	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hornets	43c	240.86$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.71	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hornets	46c	212.76$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.87	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets	44c	212$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.28	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hornets	45c	195.8$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.11	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Heat	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-9.0wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61d8…b596backed Heat	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	55c	167.83$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.52	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets	45c	161.93$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.67	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Hornets	45c	159.98$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.99	239	46.4%111 W · 128 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Hornets	45c	157$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.65	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Heat	67c	149.24$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.24	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb36d…de27backed Hornets	46c	118.37$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.45	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Heat	54c	102$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Heat	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	423	48.5%205 W · 218 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…aecbbacked Heat	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Heat	52c	96.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.14	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed70…4f63backed Heat	56c	80.36$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.36	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Hornets	45c	78.51$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.33	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Hornets	45c	78.51$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.33	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Hornets	37c	71.11$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	656	30.2%198 W · 458 L	-86.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd5f2…3ca1backed Hornets	46c	64.87$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Heat	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Hornets	46c	58.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Heat	54c	54.12$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.9	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed Heat	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	99	62.6%62 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Heat	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Heat	54c	49.99$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	635	55.6%353 W · 282 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Heat	58c	46.12$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.37	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hornets	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Hornets	46c	39.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e02…3cabbacked Heat	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+229%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Heat	54c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.56	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Heat	55c	32.21$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.58	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Heat	54c	30.5$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.03	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6994…eed0backed Hornets	46c	28.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.06	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Heat	53c	27.28$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.82	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Heat	54c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.96	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hornets	47c	23.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Heat	50c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Heat	54c	21.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.69	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Heat	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Heat	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	-17.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Heat	54c	18.52$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.52	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hornets (-8.5)this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Heat won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Heat vs. HornetsHeat won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Heat won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hornets (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event