NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1572ead66b3f4a8c3e1244fb8bbd76a14b28691577b04c4d7286704f5d39b497

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,945 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	47c	38,344$18,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,310.72	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under	52c	15,487$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,999.91	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under	53c	15,000$7,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,950	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over	47c	4,115$1,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,180.87	226	48.2%109 W · 117 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Under	54c	3,933$2,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,123.61	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c42…feefbacked Under	54c	2,804$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.16	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	53c	2,325$1,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,224.42	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11a2…db39backed Under	55c	1,809$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.6wins	-0.33per pick	51cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3077…d15dbacked Over	46c	1,751$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.54	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	52c	1,538$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.76	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	52c	1,459$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.7	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under	55c	1,335$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	48c	1,088$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.64	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under	55c	1,045$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd6…6543backed Over	46c	999$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.46	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	53c	955.11$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.21	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	55c	894.01$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.02	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under	50c	882.71$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.36	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	47c	809.28$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.92	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	47c	737.14$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.94	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Over	59c	671.62$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.62	158	63.9%101 W · 57 L	+9.9wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under	3c	634.94$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.59	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	9c	573.39$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.77	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	52c	531.93$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.71	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under	10c	499.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over	46c	428.26$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.26	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	48c	393.36$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.55	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	51c	388$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.12	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	128	65.6%84 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Under	70c	332.53$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.25	144	56.3%81 W · 63 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over	45c	330.07$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.01	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under	48c	329.54$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.98	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	42c	319.68$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.46	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over	47c	282.66$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.81	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under	55c	272.73$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	260	48.1%125 W · 135 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	39c	261.82$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.62	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	48c	251.25$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.65	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under	54c	227.74$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.98	179	60.9%109 W · 70 L	+17.7wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	49c	215.25$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.24	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	49c	204.83$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.85	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under	55c	200$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.22	207	44%91 W · 116 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	35c	183.95$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.57	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2497…a8f7backed Over	53c	180.54$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.85	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under	55c	178.57$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.21	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f2…3ca1backed Over	47c	169.77$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.98	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under	54c	167.26$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.5	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under	70c	157.11$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.88	178	44.4%79 W · 99 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…24c2backed Under	65c	151.09$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.21	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under	12c	150.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	106	23.6%25 W · 81 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over	47c	150$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.5	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over	47c	148.93$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.93	127	47.2%60 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over	49c	118.2$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.28	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under	53c	112.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.53	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdade…8e37backed Over	48c	110$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.2	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	46c	108.69$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.69	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	375	49.6%186 W · 189 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed5…b57dbacked Under	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	54c	99.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.99	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Under	54c	89.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	47c	79.1$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.01	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over	47c	75$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.75	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over	47c	75$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.75	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed Under	69c	73$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.37	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Under	51c	70.59$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over	46c	70.57$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.11	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-10.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under	53c	68.9$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.52	125	52%65 W · 60 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	46c	68.71$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.1	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under	55c	63.64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c83…3a66backed Under	50c	57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	50c	54.4$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.99	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under	46c	54.34$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,084	42.4%460 W · 624 L	-48.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d4…b415backed Over	46c	52$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.08	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under	53c	51.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.39	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under	53c	51$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.03	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	56c	50.08$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	656	30.2%198 W · 458 L	-86.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-20.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87fe…875bbacked Over	31c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Under	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	56c	49.62$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.83	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Under	61c	49.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	243	58%141 W · 102 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Over	48c	49$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.48	239	50.6%121 W · 118 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	49c	41.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.13	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0867…c3f4backed Under	49c	41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over	65c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over	48c	39$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.28	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	49c	39$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c0…d4dcbacked Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over	51c	36.94$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	378	48.9%185 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde9…fd96backed Over	46c	34.04$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.38	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over	50c	34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056c…5066backed Under	37c	32.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Heat won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Heat vs. HornetsHeat won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Heat won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event