NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f8a96042cd7fcee057214ea5e07cafb524277b0eb717c3a736f04b238d51c77

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $101,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,743 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	51c	11,952$6,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,834.37	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,899.99	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Under	49c	9,469$4,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,640	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under	49c	6,735$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under	49c	6,563$3,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,216.51	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	51c	4,238$2,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,073.15	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over	52c	3,846$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.15	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over	53c	3,809$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,808.85	172	46.5%80 W · 92 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	49c	3,583$1,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760.92	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560	125	52%65 W · 60 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under	49c	2,718$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,332	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Under	48c	2,582$1,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,239.26	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	49c	2,581$1,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,268.95	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x955f…2a6fbacked Over	51c	1,918$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3502…e42cbacked Over	50c	1,808$904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.24per pick	54cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	51c	1,768$901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$866.14	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	52c	1,527$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.24	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	51c	1,519$777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.76	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	49c	1,241$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.04	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under	47c	1,050$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.5	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	48c	1,016$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.46	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	54c	952$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.92	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	51c	878.48$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.87	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	51c	798.43$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.99	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under	47c	795.74$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under	49c	647.49$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.49	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	58c	630$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.6	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	52c	481.67$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.2	139	35.3%49 W · 90 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	47c	429.01$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.26	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	58c	385.86$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.51	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	46c	322.58$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.47	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	53c	303.62$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.62	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under	50c	271.49$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.75	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under	49c	257.67$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.26	179	60.9%109 W · 70 L	+17.7wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Over	54c	244.83$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.62	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x671d…8118backed Over	49c	226.99$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.88	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	48c	204.57$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.21	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	312	49.4%154 W · 158 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under	49c	182.43$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.39	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ab…a8dcbacked Under	47c	179$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x220b…b067backed Under	47c	164$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.08	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under	63c	159.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	463	46.4%215 W · 248 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	54c	152.5$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.6	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over	52c	150$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd79…bb5bbacked Under	48c	138$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.24	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over	52c	134.88$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.88	236	57.2%135 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over	53c	123.2$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.42	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over	52c	109.15$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.39	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	970	49.5%480 W · 490 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	49c	99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.51	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0b5…e373backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	123	59.3%73 W · 50 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62da…2fdabacked Over	52c	95.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.9	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	52c	94.23$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.23	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under	50c	85$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	376	65.4%246 W · 130 L	+62.0wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Under	47c	83.66$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	55c	82$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	46c	80.07$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.84	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under	50c	79$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.51	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over	54c	75.72$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.12	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ad…18e7backed Over	55c	75$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.75	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under	47c	72.48$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa77c…7125backed Over	54c	71.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.87	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	48c	68$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…296ebacked Over	53c	65$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.55	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under	47c	64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.08	952	60.2%573 W · 379 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd0…31c9backed Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over	42c	58.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.79	122	27%33 W · 89 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaae2…2c71backed Over	56c	57$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.16	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x564c…696cbacked Over	55c	56$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	48c	54.98$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.39	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	48c	54.84$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	54c	54.59$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.13	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over	51c	53.22$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.08	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	270	50%135 W · 135 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over	51c	51$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.24	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	223	36.8%82 W · 141 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	143	57.3%82 W · 61 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7780…0a92backed Over	56c	47$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.78	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed Over	60c	45.93$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over	55c	44.23$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…ac78backed Over	53c	41.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7280…65d2backed Under	50c	41.92$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.96	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-42%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Over	54c	41$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Over	51c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee18…fe34backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under	51c	37.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	156	62.8%98 W · 58 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91ea…f3f0backed Over	55c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over	54c	35.48$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.29	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under	49c	35.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.24	256	55.5%142 W · 114 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under	49c	35.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Heat won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Heat vs. HornetsHeat won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Heat won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event